Dr Peter Craigmile
- Honorary Research Fellow (School of Mathematics & Statistics)
Publications
2014
Craigmile, P. F., Guttorp, P., Lund, R., Smith, R. L., Thorne, P. W. and Arndt, D. (2014) Warm streaks in the U.S. temperature record: what are the chances? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(10), pp. 5757-5766. (doi: 10.1002/2013JD021446)
2013
Mannshardt, E., Craigmile, P.F. and Tingley, M. (2013) Statistical modeling of extreme value behavior in North American tree-ring density series. Climatic Change, 117(4), pp. 843-858. (doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0575-5)
Chanialidis, C. , Craigmile, P., Davies, V. , Dean, N. , Evers, L. , Filiippone, M., Gupta, M. , Ray, S. and Rogers, S. (2013) Discussion of Henning and Liao: How to find an appropriate clustering for mixed type variables with application to socio-economic stratification. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C. 62, 309-369. Discussion Paper. Springer. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01066.x).
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Van Zandt, T. (2013) A Bayesian hierarchical model for response time data providing evidence for criteria changes over time. In: Edwards, M.C. and MacCallum, R.C. (eds.) Current Topics in the Theory and Application of Latent Variable Models. Routledge Academic: New York, NY, USA. ISBN 9781848729513
Katz, R., Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P., Haran, M., Sanso, B. and Stein, M. (2013) Uncertainty analysis in climate change assessments. Nature Climate Change, 3, pp. 769-771. (doi: 10.1038/nclimate1980)
2012
Lai, W., Craigmile, P.F. and King, W. (2012) Spectral-based non-central F mixed effect models, with application to otoacoustic emissions. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 33(5), pp. 850-862. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2012.00789.x)
Berrocal, V.J., Craigmile, P.F. and Guttorp, P. (2012) Regional climate model assessment using statistical upscaling and downscaling techniques. Environmetrics, 23(5), pp. 482-492. (doi: 10.1002/env.2145)
Hans, C., Allenby, G.M., Craigmile, P.F., Lee, J.H., MacEachern, S. and Xu, X. (2012) Covariance decompositions for accurate computation in Bayesian scale-usage models. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 21(2), pp. 538-557.
Tingley, M.P., Craigmile, P.F., Haran, M., Li, B., Mannshardt-Shamseldin, E. and Rajaratnam, B. (2012) Piecing together the past: statistical insights into paleoclimatic reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 35, pp. 1-22. (doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.01.012)
2011
Craigmile, P.F. and Guttorp, P. (2011) Space-time modeling of trends in temperature series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 32(4), pp. 378-395. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2011.00733.x)
Craigmile, P.F. and Rajaratnam, B. (2011) Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable? Annals of Applied Statistics, 5(1), pp. 88-90. (doi: 10.1214/10-AOAS398F)
2010
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Van Zandt, T. (2010) Hierarchical Bayes models for response time data. Psychometrika, 75(4), pp. 613-632. (doi: 10.1007/s11336-010-9172-6)
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Zandt, T.V. (2010) Detrending Response Time Series. In: Chow, S.-M., Ferrer, E. and Hsieh, F. (eds.) Statistical Methods for Modeling Human Dynamics: An Interdisciplinary Dialogue. Routledge: New York. ISBN 9781848728257
Wei, L. and Craigmile, P.F. (2010) Global and local spectral-based tests for periodicities. Biometrika, 97(1), pp. 223-230. (doi: 10.1093/biomet/asp079)
2009
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F., Cressie, N., Li, H. and Paul, R. (2009) Hierarchical model building, fitting, and checking: a behind-the-scenes look at a Bayesian analysis of arsenic exposure pathways. Bayesian Analysis, 4(1), pp. 1-35. (doi: 10.1214/09-BA401)
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F. and Zhang, J. (2009) Regional spatial modeling of topsoil geochemistry. Biometrics, 65(1), pp. 206-215. (doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2008.01041.x)
Craigmile, P.F. (2009) Some interesting facets of spectral analysis. ISBA Bulletin, 16(3), pp. 8-11.
2008
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F. and Mosley-Thompson, E. (2008) Spatial variation in the influence of the North Atlantic oscillation on precipitation across Greenland. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 113, D06112. (doi: 10.1029/2007JD009227)
Santer, T.J., Craigmile, P.F., Calder, C.A. and Paul, R. (2008) Demographic and behavioral modifiers of arsenic exposure pathways: a Bayesian hierarchical analysis of NHEXAS data. Environmental Science and Technology, 42(15), pp. 5607-5614. (doi: 10.1021/es702338v)
Zhang, J., Craigmile, P.F. and Cressie, N. (2008) Loss function approaches to predict a spatial quantile and its exceedance region. Technometrics, 50(2), pp. 216-227. (doi: 10.1198/004017008000000226)
2007
Craigmile, P.F., Kim, N., Fernandez, S.A. and Bonsu, B.K. (2007) Modeling and detection of respiratory-related outbreak signatures. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 7, p. 28. (doi: 10.1186/1472-6947-7-28)
Cressie, N. et al. (2007) From sources to biomarkers: a hierarchical Bayesian approach for human exposure modeling. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 137(11), pp. 3361-3379.
Paul, R. et al. (2007) Bayesian hierarchical model of arsenic exposure based on NHEXAS data: a comparison of US EPA Region 5 and Arizona. In: 2007 Joint Statistical Meeting, Salt Lake City, 29 July - 2 August, 2007, pp. 1055-1062.
2006
Craigmile, P.F., Cressie, N., Santner, T.J. and Rao, Y. (2006) A loss function approach to identifying environmental exceedances. Extremes, 8(3), pp. 143-159. (doi: 10.1007/s10687-006-7964-y)
2005
Altman, N., Banks, D., Hardwick, J., Roeder, K., Craigmile, P.F., Hardin, J. and Gupta, M. (2005) The IMS New Researchers' Survival Guide. The Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Approximate wavelet-based simulation of long memory processes. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 75(5), pp. 363-379. (doi: 10.1080/0094965042000212916)
Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Review of: 'All of Statistics: A Concise Course in Statistical Inference'. American Statistician, 59(2), pp. 203-204. (doi: 10.1198/tas.2005.s30)[Book Review]
Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P. and Percival, D.B. (2005) Wavelet based estimation for polynomial contaminated fractionally differenced processes. IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing, 53(8), pp. 3151-3161. (doi: 10.1109/TSP.2005.851111)
Craigmile, P.F. and Percival, D.B. (2005) Asymptotic decorrelation of between-scale wavelet coefficients. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 51(3), pp. 1039-1048. (doi: 10.1109/TIT.2004.842575)
Cressie, N., Zhang, J. and Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Geostatistical prediction of spatial extremes and their extent. In: Renard, P. and Demougeot-Renard, H. (eds.) Geostatistics for Environmental Applications. Springer, pp. 27-37. (doi: 10.1007/3-540-26535-X_3)
Mosley-Thompson, E., Readinger, C.R., Craigmile, P.F., Thompson, L.G. and Calder, C.A. (2005) Regional sensitivity of Greenland precipitation to NAO variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L24707. (doi: 10.1029/2005GL024776)
Whitcher, B., Craigmile, P.F. and Brown, P. (2005) Time-varying spectral analysis in neurophysiological time series using Hilbert wavelet pairs. Signal Processing, 85(11), pp. 2065-2081. (doi: 10.1016/j.sigpro.2005.07.002)
2004
Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P. and Percival, D.B. (2004) Trend assessment in a long memory dependence model using the discrete wavelet transform. Environmetrics, 15(4), pp. 313-335. (doi: 10.1002/env.642)
Craigmile, P.F. and King, W.M. (2004) Periodogram based tests for distortion products otoacoustic emission. Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, 116(1), pp. 442-451. (doi: 10.1121/1.1760793)
Whitcher, B. and Craigmile, P.F. (2004) Multivariate spectral analysis using Hilbert wavelet pairs. International Journal of Wavelets, Multiresolution and Information Processing, 2(4), pp. 567-587. (doi: 10.1142/S0219691304000652)
2003
Craigmile, P.F. (2003) Simulating a class of stationary Gaussian processes using the Davies-Harte algorithm, with application to long memory processes. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 24(5), pp. 505-511. (doi: 10.1111/1467-9892.00318)
2002
Craigmile, P.F. and Percival, D.B. (2002) Wavelet-based trend detection and estimation. In: Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. Wiley: Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780471899976
2001
Craigmile, P.F., Percival, D.B. and Guttorp, P. (2001) Decorrelation Properties of Wavelet Based Estimators for Fractionally Differenced Processes. In: Third European Congress of Mathematics, Barcelona, Spain, July 10-14, 2000,
1997
Craigmile, P.F. and Titterington, D.M. (1997) Parameter estimation for finite mixtures of uniform distributions. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 26(8), pp. 1981-1995. (doi: 10.1080/03610929708832026)
Articles
Craigmile, P. F., Guttorp, P., Lund, R., Smith, R. L., Thorne, P. W. and Arndt, D. (2014) Warm streaks in the U.S. temperature record: what are the chances? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(10), pp. 5757-5766. (doi: 10.1002/2013JD021446)
Mannshardt, E., Craigmile, P.F. and Tingley, M. (2013) Statistical modeling of extreme value behavior in North American tree-ring density series. Climatic Change, 117(4), pp. 843-858. (doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0575-5)
Katz, R., Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P., Haran, M., Sanso, B. and Stein, M. (2013) Uncertainty analysis in climate change assessments. Nature Climate Change, 3, pp. 769-771. (doi: 10.1038/nclimate1980)
Lai, W., Craigmile, P.F. and King, W. (2012) Spectral-based non-central F mixed effect models, with application to otoacoustic emissions. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 33(5), pp. 850-862. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2012.00789.x)
Berrocal, V.J., Craigmile, P.F. and Guttorp, P. (2012) Regional climate model assessment using statistical upscaling and downscaling techniques. Environmetrics, 23(5), pp. 482-492. (doi: 10.1002/env.2145)
Hans, C., Allenby, G.M., Craigmile, P.F., Lee, J.H., MacEachern, S. and Xu, X. (2012) Covariance decompositions for accurate computation in Bayesian scale-usage models. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 21(2), pp. 538-557.
Tingley, M.P., Craigmile, P.F., Haran, M., Li, B., Mannshardt-Shamseldin, E. and Rajaratnam, B. (2012) Piecing together the past: statistical insights into paleoclimatic reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 35, pp. 1-22. (doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.01.012)
Craigmile, P.F. and Guttorp, P. (2011) Space-time modeling of trends in temperature series. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 32(4), pp. 378-395. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2011.00733.x)
Craigmile, P.F. and Rajaratnam, B. (2011) Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable? Annals of Applied Statistics, 5(1), pp. 88-90. (doi: 10.1214/10-AOAS398F)
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Van Zandt, T. (2010) Hierarchical Bayes models for response time data. Psychometrika, 75(4), pp. 613-632. (doi: 10.1007/s11336-010-9172-6)
Wei, L. and Craigmile, P.F. (2010) Global and local spectral-based tests for periodicities. Biometrika, 97(1), pp. 223-230. (doi: 10.1093/biomet/asp079)
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F., Cressie, N., Li, H. and Paul, R. (2009) Hierarchical model building, fitting, and checking: a behind-the-scenes look at a Bayesian analysis of arsenic exposure pathways. Bayesian Analysis, 4(1), pp. 1-35. (doi: 10.1214/09-BA401)
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F. and Zhang, J. (2009) Regional spatial modeling of topsoil geochemistry. Biometrics, 65(1), pp. 206-215. (doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2008.01041.x)
Craigmile, P.F. (2009) Some interesting facets of spectral analysis. ISBA Bulletin, 16(3), pp. 8-11.
Calder, C.A., Craigmile, P.F. and Mosley-Thompson, E. (2008) Spatial variation in the influence of the North Atlantic oscillation on precipitation across Greenland. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 113, D06112. (doi: 10.1029/2007JD009227)
Santer, T.J., Craigmile, P.F., Calder, C.A. and Paul, R. (2008) Demographic and behavioral modifiers of arsenic exposure pathways: a Bayesian hierarchical analysis of NHEXAS data. Environmental Science and Technology, 42(15), pp. 5607-5614. (doi: 10.1021/es702338v)
Zhang, J., Craigmile, P.F. and Cressie, N. (2008) Loss function approaches to predict a spatial quantile and its exceedance region. Technometrics, 50(2), pp. 216-227. (doi: 10.1198/004017008000000226)
Craigmile, P.F., Kim, N., Fernandez, S.A. and Bonsu, B.K. (2007) Modeling and detection of respiratory-related outbreak signatures. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 7, p. 28. (doi: 10.1186/1472-6947-7-28)
Cressie, N. et al. (2007) From sources to biomarkers: a hierarchical Bayesian approach for human exposure modeling. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 137(11), pp. 3361-3379.
Craigmile, P.F., Cressie, N., Santner, T.J. and Rao, Y. (2006) A loss function approach to identifying environmental exceedances. Extremes, 8(3), pp. 143-159. (doi: 10.1007/s10687-006-7964-y)
Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Approximate wavelet-based simulation of long memory processes. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 75(5), pp. 363-379. (doi: 10.1080/0094965042000212916)
Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P. and Percival, D.B. (2005) Wavelet based estimation for polynomial contaminated fractionally differenced processes. IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing, 53(8), pp. 3151-3161. (doi: 10.1109/TSP.2005.851111)
Craigmile, P.F. and Percival, D.B. (2005) Asymptotic decorrelation of between-scale wavelet coefficients. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 51(3), pp. 1039-1048. (doi: 10.1109/TIT.2004.842575)
Mosley-Thompson, E., Readinger, C.R., Craigmile, P.F., Thompson, L.G. and Calder, C.A. (2005) Regional sensitivity of Greenland precipitation to NAO variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L24707. (doi: 10.1029/2005GL024776)
Whitcher, B., Craigmile, P.F. and Brown, P. (2005) Time-varying spectral analysis in neurophysiological time series using Hilbert wavelet pairs. Signal Processing, 85(11), pp. 2065-2081. (doi: 10.1016/j.sigpro.2005.07.002)
Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P. and Percival, D.B. (2004) Trend assessment in a long memory dependence model using the discrete wavelet transform. Environmetrics, 15(4), pp. 313-335. (doi: 10.1002/env.642)
Craigmile, P.F. and King, W.M. (2004) Periodogram based tests for distortion products otoacoustic emission. Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, 116(1), pp. 442-451. (doi: 10.1121/1.1760793)
Whitcher, B. and Craigmile, P.F. (2004) Multivariate spectral analysis using Hilbert wavelet pairs. International Journal of Wavelets, Multiresolution and Information Processing, 2(4), pp. 567-587. (doi: 10.1142/S0219691304000652)
Craigmile, P.F. (2003) Simulating a class of stationary Gaussian processes using the Davies-Harte algorithm, with application to long memory processes. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 24(5), pp. 505-511. (doi: 10.1111/1467-9892.00318)
Craigmile, P.F. and Titterington, D.M. (1997) Parameter estimation for finite mixtures of uniform distributions. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 26(8), pp. 1981-1995. (doi: 10.1080/03610929708832026)
Books
Altman, N., Banks, D., Hardwick, J., Roeder, K., Craigmile, P.F., Hardin, J. and Gupta, M. (2005) The IMS New Researchers' Survival Guide. The Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
Book Sections
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Van Zandt, T. (2013) A Bayesian hierarchical model for response time data providing evidence for criteria changes over time. In: Edwards, M.C. and MacCallum, R.C. (eds.) Current Topics in the Theory and Application of Latent Variable Models. Routledge Academic: New York, NY, USA. ISBN 9781848729513
Craigmile, P.F., Peruggia, M. and Zandt, T.V. (2010) Detrending Response Time Series. In: Chow, S.-M., Ferrer, E. and Hsieh, F. (eds.) Statistical Methods for Modeling Human Dynamics: An Interdisciplinary Dialogue. Routledge: New York. ISBN 9781848728257
Cressie, N., Zhang, J. and Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Geostatistical prediction of spatial extremes and their extent. In: Renard, P. and Demougeot-Renard, H. (eds.) Geostatistics for Environmental Applications. Springer, pp. 27-37. (doi: 10.1007/3-540-26535-X_3)
Craigmile, P.F. and Percival, D.B. (2002) Wavelet-based trend detection and estimation. In: Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. Wiley: Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780471899976
Book Reviews
Craigmile, P.F. (2005) Review of: 'All of Statistics: A Concise Course in Statistical Inference'. American Statistician, 59(2), pp. 203-204. (doi: 10.1198/tas.2005.s30)[Book Review]
Research Reports or Papers
Chanialidis, C. , Craigmile, P., Davies, V. , Dean, N. , Evers, L. , Filiippone, M., Gupta, M. , Ray, S. and Rogers, S. (2013) Discussion of Henning and Liao: How to find an appropriate clustering for mixed type variables with application to socio-economic stratification. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C. 62, 309-369. Discussion Paper. Springer. (doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01066.x).
Conference Proceedings
Paul, R. et al. (2007) Bayesian hierarchical model of arsenic exposure based on NHEXAS data: a comparison of US EPA Region 5 and Arizona. In: 2007 Joint Statistical Meeting, Salt Lake City, 29 July - 2 August, 2007, pp. 1055-1062.
Craigmile, P.F., Percival, D.B. and Guttorp, P. (2001) Decorrelation Properties of Wavelet Based Estimators for Fractionally Differenced Processes. In: Third European Congress of Mathematics, Barcelona, Spain, July 10-14, 2000,