Professor Juan Morales
- Professor of Statistical Ecology (Ecology & Environmental Change)
email:
Juan.Morales@glasgow.ac.uk
Graham Kerr Building, room 314, level 3, Glasgow, Glasgow City, Scotland, G12 8QQ
Research interests
Quantitative ecology and ecological modelling. Species interactions, movement and dispersal, population dynamics, and disease ecology.
Google scholar profile: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=i9J_tRYAAAAJ&hl=en
Research groups
Publications
2024
Oliver, A. B., Kazimierski, L. D., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2024) Habitat selection of the arboreal marsupial Dromiciops gliroides and potential effects on the seed dispersal of the mistletoe Tristerix corymbosus. Mammalian Biology, 104(5), pp. 489-497. (doi: 10.1007/s42991-024-00422-6)
Campagna, M.S., Barberá, I., Morales, J.M. and Morán-López, T. (2024) Unusually large invasive seeds are spared by rodents in a Patagonian forest. Biological Invasions, 26(9), pp. 3205-3218. (doi: 10.1007/s10530-024-03372-9)
Kavwele, C. M., Hopcraft, J. G. C. , Morales, J. M. , Nyafi, G., Kimuya, N. and Torney, C. J. (2024) Real‐time classification of Serengeti wildebeest behaviour with edge machine learning and a long‐range IoT network. Canadian Journal of Zoology, (Accepted for Publication)
Carlo, T. A. et al. (2024) Negative density dependence characterizes mutualistic interactions between birds and fruiting plants across latitudes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 379(1907), 20230128. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2023.0128) (PMID:38913067)
Rodriguez Quinteros, A. C., Soler, P., Larroza, M., Morales, J. M. and Gurevitz, J. M. (2024) Water temperature and microenvironmental factors predict the presence and detection of the snail host of Fasciola hepatica in Andean Patagonia. Veterinary Parasitology, 329, 110209. (doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2024.110209) (PMID:38823188)
Barberá, I., Barberá, I., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Morales, J. M. and Kitzberger, T. (2024) Disentangling the effects of vegetation and physical drivers on fire. Research Square, (doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4351591/v1)
Lara-Lizardi, F., Castro, E., Leos Barajas, V., Morales, J. M. , Hoyos-Padilla, E. M. and Ketchum, J. (2024) Seasonal occurrence and individual variability of bull sharks, Carcharhinus leucas, in a marine reserve of the southwestern Gulf of California. PeerJ, 12, e17192. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.17192) (PMID:38766482) (PMCID:PMC11102736)
Aldabe, J., Morán‐López, T., Soca, P., Blumetto, O. and Morales, J. M. (2024) Bird species responses to rangeland management in relation to their traits: Rio de la Plata Grasslands as a case study. Ecological Applications, 34(2), e2933. (doi: 10.1002/eap.2933) (PMID:37983735)
Kabalika, Z. , Haydon, D. T. , McGill, R. A.R. , Morales, J. M. , Morrison, T. A. , Newton, J. and Hopcraft, J. G. C. (2024) Using sulfur stable isotope ratios (δ34S) for animal geolocation: Estimating the delay mechanisms between diet ingestion and isotope incorporation in tail hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry, 38(2), e9674. (doi: 10.1002/rcm.9674) (PMID:38124168)
Kabalika, Z. , Haydon, D. T. , McGill, R. A.R. , Morales, J. M. , Morrison, T. A. , Newton, J. and Hopcraft, J. G. C. (2024) Using sulfur stable isotope ratios (δ34S) for animal geolocation: estimating the delay mechanisms between diet ingestion and isotope incorporation in tail hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry, 38(2), e9674. (doi: 10.1002/rcm.9674)
Soler, P., Gurevitz, J. M., Morales, J. M. and Larroza, M. (2024) Modeling the effects of water temperature on the population dynamics of Galba viatrix and infection by Fasciola hepatica: a two-year survey in Andean Patagonia, Argentina. PeerJ Life & Environment, (Accepted for Publication)
2023
Felici, F., Gurevitz, J. M., Mortarini, M. and Morales, J. M. (2023) Hierarchical forecasting models of stink bug population dynamics for pest management. Crop Protection, 172, 106330. (doi: 10.1016/j.cropro.2023.106330)
Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2023) Inferring the interaction rules of complex systems with graph neural networks and approximate Bayesian computation. Journal of the Royal Society: Interface, 20(198), 20220676. (doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0676) (PMID:36596456)
2022
Jarrett, C., Haydon, D. T. , Morales, J. M. , Ferreira, D. F., Forzi, F. A., Welch, A. J., Powell, L. L. and Matthiopoulos, J. (2022) Integration of mark–recapture and acoustic detections for unbiased population estimation in animal communities. Ecology, 103(10), e3769. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.3769) (PMID:35620844)
Morán‐López, T., Ruiz‐Suarez, S., Aldabe, J. and Morales, J. M. (2022) Improving inferences and predictions of species environmental responses with occupancy data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13(7), pp. 1540-1551. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13875)
2021
Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2021) Inferring microscale properties of interacting systems from macroscale observations. Physical Review Research, 3(4), 043074. (doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.3.043074)
Sasal, Y., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Host spatial structure and disperser activity determine mistletoe infection patterns. Oikos, 130(3), pp. 440-452. (doi: 10.1111/oik.07771)
Torney, C. J. , Morales, J. M. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. Movement Ecology, 9, 6. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-021-00242-0) (PMID:33602302)
Pizo, M.A., Morales, J. M. , Ovaskainen, O. and Carlo, T.A. (2021) Frugivory specialization in birds and fruit chemistry structure mutualistic networks across the neotropics. American Naturalist, (doi: 10.1086/712381) (PMID:33523785)
Bedriñana‑Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Johnson, D., Zerbini, A. N., Morales, J. , Mate, B. and Palacios, D. M. (2021) Defining priority areas for blue whale conservation and investigating overlap with vessel traffic in Chilean Patagonia, using a fast-fitting movement model. Scientific Reports, 11, 2709. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82220-5) (PMID:33526800) (PMCID:PMC7851173)
Falcón-Cortés, A., Boyer, D., Merrill, E., Frair, J. L. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Hierarchical, memory-based movement models for translocated elk (cervus canadensis). Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 702925. (doi: 10.3389/fevo.2021.702925)
Gurevitz, J. M., Antman, J. G., Laneri, K. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 15(6), e0009465. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465) (PMID:34115753) (PMCID:PMC8221794)
Morales, J. M. and López, T. M. (2021) Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by animals. Oikos, 2022(2), e08328. (doi: 10.1111/oik.08328)
2020
Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. M. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Modelling multiscale collective behavior with Gaussian processes. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 124. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.124)
Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Approximate Bayesian inference for individual-based models with emergent dynamics. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 125. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.125)
Ramos, D. L., Pizo, M. A., Ribeiro, M. C., Cruz, R. S., Morales, J. M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2020) Forest and connectivity loss drive changes in movement behavior of bird species. Ecography, 43(8), pp. 1203-1214. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.04888)
Ruiz-Suarez, S., Leos-Barajas, V., Alvarez-Castro, I. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Using approximate Bayesian inference for a "steps and turns" continuous-time random walk observed at regular time intervals. PeerJ, 8(2), e8452. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.8452) (PMID:32095333) (PMCID:PMC7020826)
Morán-López, W.D., Vizzachero, B.S., Fontanella, A., Salinas, L., Arana, C., Amico, G., Pizo, M.A., Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Can network metrics predict vulnerability and species roles in bird-dispersed plant communities? Not without behaviour. Ecology Letters, 23(2), pp. 348-358. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13439) (PMID:31814305)
Morán‐López, T., González‐Castro, A., Morales, J. M. and Nogales, M. (2020) Behavioural complementarity among frugivorous birds and lizards can promote plant diversity in island ecosystems. Functional Ecology, 34(1), pp. 182-193. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13476)
Williams, H. J. et al. (2020) Optimizing the use of biologgers for movement ecology research. Journal of Animal Ecology, 89(1), pp. 186-206. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13094) (PMID:31424571) (PMCID:PMC7041970)
2019
Fenoglio, M.S., Videla, M., Salvo, A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Dispersal of the pea leaf miner liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: Agromyzidae): A field experiment = Dispersión del minador de hojas liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: agromyzidae): un experimento a campo. Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, 51(2), pp. 343-352.
di Virgilio, A., Lambertucci, S. A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Sustainable grazing management in rangelands: over a century searching for a silver bullet. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 283, 106561. (doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2019.05.020)
Ovaskainen, O., Leal Ramos, D., Slade, E. M., Merckx, T., Tikhonov, G., Pennanen, J., Aurélio Pizo, M., Cezar Ribeiro, M. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Joint species movement modeling: how do traits influence movements? Ecology, 100(4), e02622. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.2622) (PMID:30644540) (PMCID:PMC6850360)
Hooten, M.B., Scharf, H.R. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Running on empty: recharge dynamics from animal movement data. Ecology Letters, 22(2), pp. 377-389. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13198) (PMID:30548152)
Gowda, J.H., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Fragmentation modulates the response of dichotomous landscapes to fire and seed dispersal. Ecological Modelling, 392, pp. 22-30. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.10.014)
Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Gowda, J.H., Mermoz, M. and Kitzberger, T. (2019) Non-additive effects of alternative stable states on landscape flammability in NW Patagonia: fire history and simulation modelling evidence. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 28(2), pp. 149-159. (doi: 10.1071/WF18073)
2018
Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A., Amico, G. and Morales, J. M. (2018) Diet complementation as a frequency-dependent mechanism conferring advantages to rare plants via dispersal. Functional Ecology, 32(10), pp. 2310-2320. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13152)
Bedriñana-Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Morales, J. , Williams, R., Ashe, E., Garcés-Vargas, J. and Torres-Florez, J. P. (2018) Integrating multiple data sources for assessing blue whale abundance and distribution in Chilean Northern Patagonia. Diversity and Distributions, 24(7), pp. 991-1004. (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12739)
Sáez, A., Morales, J. M. , Morales, C. L., Harder, L. D. and Aizen, M. A. (2018) The costs and benefits of pollinator dependence: empirically based simulations predict raspberry fruit quality. Ecological Applications, 28(5), pp. 1215-1222. (doi: 10.1002/eap.1720) (PMID:29575300)
di Virgilio, A., Morales, J.M. , Lambertucci, S.A., Shepard, E.L.C. and Wilson, R.P. (2018) Multi-dimensional Precision Livestock Farming: a potential toolbox for sustainable rangeland management. PeerJ, 6, e4867. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.4867) (PMID:29868276) (PMCID:PMC5984589)
Delgado, M.M., Miranda, M., Alvarez, S.J., Gurarie, E., Fagan, W.F., Penteriani, V., di Virgilio, A. and Morales, J.M. (2018) The importance of individual variation in the dynamics of animal collective movements. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 373(1746), 20170008. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0008) (PMID:2958139) (PMCID:PMC5882978)
Tiribelli, F., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J.M. (2018) Changes in vegetation structure and fuel characteristics along post-fire succession promote alternative stable states and positive fire–vegetation feedbacks. Journal of Vegetation Science, 29(2), pp. 147-156. (doi: 10.1111/jvs.12620)
Landesmann, J.B. and Morales, J.M. (2018) The importance of fire refugia in the recolonization of a fire-sensitive conifer in northern Patagonia. Plant Ecology, 219(4), pp. 455-466. (doi: 10.1007/s11258-018-0808-4)
Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. (2018) The role of frugivory in plant diversity maintenance – a simulation approach. Ecography, 41(1), pp. 24-31. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.03220)
2017
Amico, G. C., Sasal, Y., Vidal-Russell, R., Aizen, M. A. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Consequences of disperser behaviour for seedling establishment of a mistletoe species. Austral Ecology: A Journal of Ecology in the Southern Hemisphere, 42(8), pp. 900-907. (doi: 10.1111/aec.12517)
Alarcón, P. A. E., Morales, J. M. , Donázar, J. A., Sánchez-Zapata, J. A., Hiraldo, F. and Lambertucci, S. A. (2017) Sexual-size dimorphism modulates the trade-off between exploiting food and wind resources in a large avian scavenger. Scientific Reports, 7, 11461. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-11855-0) (PMID:28904381) (PMCID:PMC5597617)
Blackhall, M., Raffaele, E., Paritsis, J., Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Kitzberger, T., Gowda, J. H. and Veblen, T. T. (2017) Effects of biological legacies and herbivory on fuels and flammability traits: a long-term experimental study of alternative stable states. Journal of Ecology, 105(5), pp. 1309-1322. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12796)
Fenoglio, M. S., Werenkraut, V., Morales, J. M. and Salvo, A. (2017) A hierarchical multi-scale analysis of the spatial relationship between parasitism and host density in urban habitats. Austral Ecology: A Journal of Ecology in the Southern Hemisphere, 42(6), pp. 732-741. (doi: 10.1111/aec.12491)
Leos-Barajas, V., Gangloff, E. J., Adam, T., Langrock, R., van Beest, F. M., Nabe-Nielsen, J. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Multi-scale modeling of animal movement and general behavior data using hidden Markov models with hierarchical structures. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 22(3), pp. 232-248. (doi: 10.1007/s13253-017-0282-9)
Morales, J. M. , di Virgilio, A., del Mar Delgado, M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2017) A general approach to model movement in (highly) fragmented patch networks. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 22(3), pp. 393-412. (doi: 10.1007/s13253-017-0298-1)
Oliver, A. B., Amico, G. C., Rivarola, M. D. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Population dynamics of Dromiciops gliroides (Microbiotheriidae) in an austral temperate forest. Journal of Mammalogy, 98(4), pp. 1179-1184. (doi: 10.1093/jmammal/gyx051)
Tiribelli, F., Amico, G. C., Sasal, Y. and Morales, J. M. (2017) The effect of spatial context and plant characteristics on fruit removal. Acta Oecologica, 82, pp. 69-74. (doi: 10.1016/j.actao.2017.06.002)
Rodríguez-Pérez, J., García, D., Martínez, D. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Seed dispersal by changing frugivore assemblages: a mechanistic test of global change effects. Oikos, 126(5), pp. 671-681. (doi: 10.1111/oik.03176)
Fenoglio, M. S., Videla, M. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Evaluating trap cropping strategies for insect pest control through simulation models. Journal of Pest Science, 90(2), pp. 601-610. (doi: 10.1007/s10340-016-0807-y)
Hooten, M. B., Johnson, D. S., McClintock, B. T. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Animal movement: Statistical Models for Telemetry Data. CRC Press: Boca Raton, pp. 1-306. ISBN 9781466582149 (doi: 10.1201/9781315117744)
2016
Morán-López, T., Wiegand, T., Morales, J. M. , Valladares, F. and Díaz, M. (2016) Predicting forest management effects on oak–rodent mutualisms. Oikos, 125(10), pp. 1445-1457. (doi: 10.1111/oik.02884)
Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Generalist birds promote tropical forest regeneration and increase plant diversity via rare-biased seed dispersal. Ecology, 97(7), pp. 1819-1831. (doi: 10.1890/15-2147.1) (PMID:27859154)
di Virgilio, A. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Towards evenly distributed grazing patterns: Including social context in sheep management strategies. PeerJ, 4, e2152. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.2152) (PMID:27366650) (PMCID:PMC4924134)
Morán-López, T., Robledo-Arnuncio, J. J., Díaz, M., Morales, J. M. , Lázaro-Nogal, A., Zaida, L. and Valladares, F. (2016) Determinants of functional connectivity of holm oak woodlands: fragment size and mouse foraging behavior. Forest Ecology and Management, 368, pp. 111-112. (doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.03.010)
Alarcón, P. A.E., Lambertucci, S. A., Donázar, J. A., Hiraldo, F., Sánchez-Zapata, J. A., Blanco, G. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Movement decisions in natural catastrophes: how a flying scavenger deals with a volcanic eruption. Behavioral Ecology, 27(1), pp. 75-82. (doi: 10.1093/beheco/arv124)
2015
Aráoz, E. and Morales, J. M. (2015) Modeling unobserved variables in dendrochronological age structures improves inferences about population dynamics. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 45(12), pp. 1720-1727. (doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2015-0073)
Campbell, H.A. et al. (2015) Finding our way: on the sharing and reuse of animal telemetry data in Australasia. Science of the Total Environment, 534, pp. 79-84. (doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.01.089) (PMID:25669144)
Matthiopoulos, J. , Fieberg, J., Aarts, G., Beyer, H. L., Morales, J. M. and Haydon, D. T. (2015) Establishing the link between habitat selection and animal population dynamics. Ecological Monographs, 85(3), pp. 413-436. (doi: 10.1890/14-2244.1)
Morales, J. M. , Mermoz, M., Gowda, J. H. and Kitzberger, T. (2015) A stochastic fire spread model for north Patagonia based on fire occurrence maps. Ecological Modelling, 300, pp. 73-80. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.01.004)
Barbar, F., Werenkraut, V., Morales, J. M. and Lambertucci, S. A. (2015) Emerging ecosystems change the spatial distribution of top carnivores even in poorly populated areas. PLoS ONE, 10(3), e0118851. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118851) (PMID:25799547) (PMCID:PMC4370498)
2014
Di Virgilio, A., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2014) Behavioral traits of the arboreal marsupial Dromiciops gliroides during Tristerix corymbosus fruiting season. Journal of Mammalogy, 95(6), pp. 1189-1198. (doi: 10.1644/13-MAMM-A-281)
Gimenez, O. et al. (2014) Statistical ecology comes of age. Biology Letters, 10(12), 20140698. (doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2014.0698) (PMID:25540151) (PMCID:PMC4298184)
McClintock, B.T., Johnson, D.S., Hooten, M.B., Ver Hoef, J.M. and Morales, J.M. (2014) When to be discrete: the importance of time formulation in understanding animal movement. Movement Ecology, 2, 21. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-014-0021-6) (PMID:25709830) (PMCID:PMC4337762)
Merkle, J. A., Fortin, D. and Morales, J. M. (2014) A memory-based foraging tactic reveals an adaptive mechanism for restricted space use. Ecology Letters, 17(8), pp. 924-931. (doi: 10.1111/ele.12294) (PMID:24811575)
Ramos-Fernández, G. and Morales, J. M. (2014) Unraveling fission-fusion dynamics: how subgroup properties and dyadic interactions influence individual decisions. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 68, pp. 1225-1235. (doi: 10.1007/s00265-014-1733-8)
Abramson, G., Kuperman, M. N., Morales, J. M. and Miller, J. C. (2014) Space use by foragers consuming renewable resources. European Physical Journal B, 87, 100. (doi: 10.1140/epjb/e2014-50032-6)
Delgado, M. D. M., Penteriani, V., Morales, J. M. , Gurarie, E. and Ovaskainen, O. (2014) A statistical framework for inferring the influence of conspecifics on movement behaviour. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5(2), pp. 183-189. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12154)
2013
Morales, J. M. , García, D., Martínez, D., Rodriguez-Pérez, J. and Herrera, J. M. (2013) Frugivore behavioural details matter for seed dispersal: a multi-species model for Cantabrian thrushes and trees. PLoS ONE, 8(6), e65216. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065216) (PMID:23776452) (PMCID:PMC3679117)
Beyer, H.L., Morales, J.M. , Murray, D. and Fortin, M.-J. (2013) The effectiveness of Bayesian state-space models for estimating behavioural states from movement paths. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4(5), pp. 433-441. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12026)
Carlo, T.A., García, D., Martínez, D., Gleditsch, J.M. and Morales, J.M. (2013) Where do seeds go when they go far? Distance and directionality of avian seed dispersal in heterogeneous landscapes. Ecology, 94(2), pp. 301-307. (doi: 10.1890/12-0913.1) (PMID:23691649)
García, D., Martínez, D., Herrera, J. M. and Morales, J. M. (2013) Functional heterogeneity in a plant–frugivore assemblage enhances seed dispersal resilience to habitat loss. Ecography, 36(2), pp. 197-208. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07519.x)
Sasal, Y. and Morales, J. M. (2013) Linking frugivore behavior to plant population dynamics. Oikos, 122(1), pp. 95-103. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2012.20669.x)
2012
Morales, J. M. , Rivarola, M. D., Amico, G. and Carlo, T. A. (2012) Neighborhood effects on seed dispersal by frugivores: testing theory with a mistletoe–marsupial system in Patagonia. Ecology, 93(4), pp. 741-748. (doi: 10.1890/11-0935.1) (PMID:22690625)
Kitzberger, T., Aráoz, E., Gowda, J. H., Mermoz, M. and Morales, J. M. (2012) Decreases in fire spread probability with forest age promotes alternative community states, reduced resilience to climate variability and large fire regime shifts. Ecosystems, 15, pp. 97-112. (doi: 10.1007/s10021-011-9494-y)
2011
Garibaldi, L.A. et al. (2011) Stability of pollination services decreases with isolation from natural areas despite honey bee visits. Ecology Letters, 14(10), pp. 1062-1072. (doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01669.x) (PMID:21806746)
Herrera, J.M., Morales, J.M. and García, D. (2011) Differential effects of fruit availability and habitat cover for frugivore-mediated seed dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Journal of Ecology, 99(5), pp. 1100-1107. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01861.x)
Morales, J.M. (2011) The metapopulation that was not? Animal Conservation, 14(3), pp. 227-228. (doi: 10.1111/j.1469-1795.2011.00463.x)
Herrera, J.M., García, D. and Morales, J. M. (2011) Matrix effects on plant-frugivore and plant-predator interactions in forest fragments. Landscape Ecology, 26, pp. 125-135. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-010-9541-7)
2010
Smouse, P.E., Focardi, S., Moorcroft, P.R., Kie, J.G., Forester, J.D. and Morales, J.M. (2010) Stochastic modelling of animal movement. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1550), pp. 2201-2211. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0078) (PMID:20566497) (PMCID:PMC2894957)
Dalziel, B.D., Morales, J.M. and Fryxell, J.M. (2010) Fitting dynamic models to animal movement data: the importance of probes for model selection, a reply to Franz and Caillaud. American Naturalist, 175(6), pp. 762-764. (doi: 10.1086/652521) (PMID:20408750)
2009
Lambertucci, S.A., Speziale, K.L., Rogers, T.E. and Morales, J.M. (2009) How do roads affect the habitat use of an assemblage of scavenging raptors? Biodiversity and Conservation, 18(8), pp. 2063-2074. (doi: 10.1007/s10531-008-9573-3)
Barton, K. A., Phillips, B. L., Morales, J. M. and Travis, J. M. J. (2009) The evolution of an ‘intelligent’ dispersal strategy: biased, correlated random walks in patchy landscapes. Oikos, 118(2), pp. 309-319. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.16936.x)
2008
Frair, J.L., Merrill, E.H., Beyer, H.L. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Thresholds in landscape connectivity and mortality risks in response to growing road networks. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45(5), pp. 1504-1513. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01526.x)
Morales, J.M. and Vázquez, D.P. (2008) The effect of space in plant-animal mutualistic networks: insights from a simulation study. Oikos, 117(9), pp. 1362-1370. (doi: 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2008.16737.x)
Dalziel, B.D., Morales, J.M. and Fryxell, J.M. (2008) Fitting probability distributions to animal movement trajectories: using artificial neural networks to link distance, resources, and memory. American Naturalist, 172(2), pp. 248-258. (doi: 10.1086/589448) (PMID:18598199)
Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Inequalities in fruit-removal and seed dispersal: consequences of bird behaviour, neighbourhood density and landscape aggregation. Journal of Ecology, 96(4), pp. 609-618. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2008.01379.x)
Aizen, M.A., Morales, C.L. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Invasive mutualists erode native pollination webs. PLoS Biology, 6(2), e31. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.0060031) (PMID:18271628) (PMCID:PMC2235906)
2007
Carlo, T.A., Aukema, J.E. and Morales, J.M. (2007) Plant-frugivore interactions as spatially explicit networks: integrating frugivore foraging with fruiting plant spatial patterns. In: Dennis, A. J., Schupp, E. W., Green, R. J. and Westcott, D. A. (eds.) Seed Dispersal: Theory and its Application in a Changing World. CABI: Wallingford, pp. 369-390. ISBN 9781845931650 (doi: 10.1079/9781845931650.0369)
2006
Morales, J.M. and Carlo, T.A. (2006) The effects of plant distribution and frugivore density on the scale and shape of dispersal kernels. Ecology, 87(6), pp. 1489-1496. (doi: 10.1890/0012-9658%282006%2987%5B1489%3ATEOPDA%5D2.0.CO%3B2)
2005
Fortin, D., Morales, J.M. and Boyce, M.S. (2005) Elk winter foraging at fine scale in Yellowstone National Park. Oecologia, 145(2), pp. 334-342. (doi: 10.1007/s00442-005-0122-4) (PMID:15965755)
Frair, J.L., Merrill, E.H., Visscher, D.R., Fortin, D., Beyer, H.L. and Morales, J.M. (2005) Scales of movement by elk (Cervus elaphus) in response to heterogeneity in forage resources and predation risk. Landscape Ecology, 20(3), pp. 273-287. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-005-2075-8)
Morales, J.M. , Fortin, D., Frair, J.L. and Merrill, E.H. (2005) Adaptive models for large herbivore movements in heterogeneous landscapes. Landscape Ecology, 20(3), pp. 301-316. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-005-0061-9)
2004
Morales, J.M. , Haydon, D.T., Frair, J., Holsinger, K.E. and Fryxell, J.M. (2004) Extracting more out of relocation data: Building movement models as mixtures of random walks. Ecology, 85(9), pp. 2436-2445. (doi: 10.1890/03-0269)
Chacoff, N.P., Morales, J.M. and Vaquera, M.D.P. (2004) Effects of habitat fragmentation on the abortion and predation of seeds in Chaco Serrano = Efectos de la fragmentación sobre la aborción y depredación de semillas en el Chaco Serrano. Biotropica, 36(1), pp. 109-117. (doi: 10.1111/j.1744-7429.2004.tb00301.x)
2003
Aragón, R. and Morales, J.M. (2003) Species composition and invasion in NW Argentinian secondary forests: effects of land use history, environment and landscape. Journal of Vegetation Science: Advances in plant community ecology, 14(2), pp. 195-204. (doi: 10.1111/j.1654-1103.2003.tb02144.x)
2002
Morales, J.M. (2002) Behavior at habitat boundaries can produce leptokurtic movement distributions. American Naturalist, 160(4), pp. 531-538. (doi: 10.1086/342076)
Morales, J.M. and Ellner, S.P. (2002) Scaling up animal movements in heterogeneous landscapes: the importance of behavior. Ecology, 83(8), pp. 2240-2247. (doi: 10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2240:SUAMIH]2.0.CO;2)
1999
Adler, P.B. and Morales, J.M. (1999) Influence of environmental factors and sheep grazing on an Andean grassland. Journal of Range Management, 52(5), pp. 471-481. (doi: 10.2307/4003774)
Morales, J.M. (1999) Viability in a pink environment: why "white noise" models can be dangerous. Ecology Letters, 2(4), pp. 228-232. (doi: 10.1046/j.1461-0248.1999.00074.x)
1996
Morales, J.M. (1996) Unsaturated arboreal communities in Argentine montane forests = Comunidades arboreas no saturadas en las Yungas de Argentina. Ecologia Austral, 6(1), pp. 17-22.
Articles
Oliver, A. B., Kazimierski, L. D., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2024) Habitat selection of the arboreal marsupial Dromiciops gliroides and potential effects on the seed dispersal of the mistletoe Tristerix corymbosus. Mammalian Biology, 104(5), pp. 489-497. (doi: 10.1007/s42991-024-00422-6)
Campagna, M.S., Barberá, I., Morales, J.M. and Morán-López, T. (2024) Unusually large invasive seeds are spared by rodents in a Patagonian forest. Biological Invasions, 26(9), pp. 3205-3218. (doi: 10.1007/s10530-024-03372-9)
Kavwele, C. M., Hopcraft, J. G. C. , Morales, J. M. , Nyafi, G., Kimuya, N. and Torney, C. J. (2024) Real‐time classification of Serengeti wildebeest behaviour with edge machine learning and a long‐range IoT network. Canadian Journal of Zoology, (Accepted for Publication)
Carlo, T. A. et al. (2024) Negative density dependence characterizes mutualistic interactions between birds and fruiting plants across latitudes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 379(1907), 20230128. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2023.0128) (PMID:38913067)
Rodriguez Quinteros, A. C., Soler, P., Larroza, M., Morales, J. M. and Gurevitz, J. M. (2024) Water temperature and microenvironmental factors predict the presence and detection of the snail host of Fasciola hepatica in Andean Patagonia. Veterinary Parasitology, 329, 110209. (doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2024.110209) (PMID:38823188)
Barberá, I., Barberá, I., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Morales, J. M. and Kitzberger, T. (2024) Disentangling the effects of vegetation and physical drivers on fire. Research Square, (doi: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4351591/v1)
Lara-Lizardi, F., Castro, E., Leos Barajas, V., Morales, J. M. , Hoyos-Padilla, E. M. and Ketchum, J. (2024) Seasonal occurrence and individual variability of bull sharks, Carcharhinus leucas, in a marine reserve of the southwestern Gulf of California. PeerJ, 12, e17192. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.17192) (PMID:38766482) (PMCID:PMC11102736)
Aldabe, J., Morán‐López, T., Soca, P., Blumetto, O. and Morales, J. M. (2024) Bird species responses to rangeland management in relation to their traits: Rio de la Plata Grasslands as a case study. Ecological Applications, 34(2), e2933. (doi: 10.1002/eap.2933) (PMID:37983735)
Kabalika, Z. , Haydon, D. T. , McGill, R. A.R. , Morales, J. M. , Morrison, T. A. , Newton, J. and Hopcraft, J. G. C. (2024) Using sulfur stable isotope ratios (δ34S) for animal geolocation: Estimating the delay mechanisms between diet ingestion and isotope incorporation in tail hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry, 38(2), e9674. (doi: 10.1002/rcm.9674) (PMID:38124168)
Kabalika, Z. , Haydon, D. T. , McGill, R. A.R. , Morales, J. M. , Morrison, T. A. , Newton, J. and Hopcraft, J. G. C. (2024) Using sulfur stable isotope ratios (δ34S) for animal geolocation: estimating the delay mechanisms between diet ingestion and isotope incorporation in tail hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry, 38(2), e9674. (doi: 10.1002/rcm.9674)
Soler, P., Gurevitz, J. M., Morales, J. M. and Larroza, M. (2024) Modeling the effects of water temperature on the population dynamics of Galba viatrix and infection by Fasciola hepatica: a two-year survey in Andean Patagonia, Argentina. PeerJ Life & Environment, (Accepted for Publication)
Felici, F., Gurevitz, J. M., Mortarini, M. and Morales, J. M. (2023) Hierarchical forecasting models of stink bug population dynamics for pest management. Crop Protection, 172, 106330. (doi: 10.1016/j.cropro.2023.106330)
Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2023) Inferring the interaction rules of complex systems with graph neural networks and approximate Bayesian computation. Journal of the Royal Society: Interface, 20(198), 20220676. (doi: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0676) (PMID:36596456)
Jarrett, C., Haydon, D. T. , Morales, J. M. , Ferreira, D. F., Forzi, F. A., Welch, A. J., Powell, L. L. and Matthiopoulos, J. (2022) Integration of mark–recapture and acoustic detections for unbiased population estimation in animal communities. Ecology, 103(10), e3769. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.3769) (PMID:35620844)
Morán‐López, T., Ruiz‐Suarez, S., Aldabe, J. and Morales, J. M. (2022) Improving inferences and predictions of species environmental responses with occupancy data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13(7), pp. 1540-1551. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13875)
Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2021) Inferring microscale properties of interacting systems from macroscale observations. Physical Review Research, 3(4), 043074. (doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.3.043074)
Sasal, Y., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Host spatial structure and disperser activity determine mistletoe infection patterns. Oikos, 130(3), pp. 440-452. (doi: 10.1111/oik.07771)
Torney, C. J. , Morales, J. M. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. Movement Ecology, 9, 6. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-021-00242-0) (PMID:33602302)
Pizo, M.A., Morales, J. M. , Ovaskainen, O. and Carlo, T.A. (2021) Frugivory specialization in birds and fruit chemistry structure mutualistic networks across the neotropics. American Naturalist, (doi: 10.1086/712381) (PMID:33523785)
Bedriñana‑Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Johnson, D., Zerbini, A. N., Morales, J. , Mate, B. and Palacios, D. M. (2021) Defining priority areas for blue whale conservation and investigating overlap with vessel traffic in Chilean Patagonia, using a fast-fitting movement model. Scientific Reports, 11, 2709. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82220-5) (PMID:33526800) (PMCID:PMC7851173)
Falcón-Cortés, A., Boyer, D., Merrill, E., Frair, J. L. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Hierarchical, memory-based movement models for translocated elk (cervus canadensis). Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 702925. (doi: 10.3389/fevo.2021.702925)
Gurevitz, J. M., Antman, J. G., Laneri, K. and Morales, J. M. (2021) Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 15(6), e0009465. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465) (PMID:34115753) (PMCID:PMC8221794)
Morales, J. M. and López, T. M. (2021) Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by animals. Oikos, 2022(2), e08328. (doi: 10.1111/oik.08328)
Ramos, D. L., Pizo, M. A., Ribeiro, M. C., Cruz, R. S., Morales, J. M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2020) Forest and connectivity loss drive changes in movement behavior of bird species. Ecography, 43(8), pp. 1203-1214. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.04888)
Ruiz-Suarez, S., Leos-Barajas, V., Alvarez-Castro, I. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Using approximate Bayesian inference for a "steps and turns" continuous-time random walk observed at regular time intervals. PeerJ, 8(2), e8452. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.8452) (PMID:32095333) (PMCID:PMC7020826)
Morán-López, W.D., Vizzachero, B.S., Fontanella, A., Salinas, L., Arana, C., Amico, G., Pizo, M.A., Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J. M. (2020) Can network metrics predict vulnerability and species roles in bird-dispersed plant communities? Not without behaviour. Ecology Letters, 23(2), pp. 348-358. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13439) (PMID:31814305)
Morán‐López, T., González‐Castro, A., Morales, J. M. and Nogales, M. (2020) Behavioural complementarity among frugivorous birds and lizards can promote plant diversity in island ecosystems. Functional Ecology, 34(1), pp. 182-193. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13476)
Williams, H. J. et al. (2020) Optimizing the use of biologgers for movement ecology research. Journal of Animal Ecology, 89(1), pp. 186-206. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13094) (PMID:31424571) (PMCID:PMC7041970)
Fenoglio, M.S., Videla, M., Salvo, A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Dispersal of the pea leaf miner liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: Agromyzidae): A field experiment = Dispersión del minador de hojas liriomyza huidobrensis (Blanchard, 1926) (diptera: agromyzidae): un experimento a campo. Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, 51(2), pp. 343-352.
di Virgilio, A., Lambertucci, S. A. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Sustainable grazing management in rangelands: over a century searching for a silver bullet. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 283, 106561. (doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2019.05.020)
Ovaskainen, O., Leal Ramos, D., Slade, E. M., Merckx, T., Tikhonov, G., Pennanen, J., Aurélio Pizo, M., Cezar Ribeiro, M. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Joint species movement modeling: how do traits influence movements? Ecology, 100(4), e02622. (doi: 10.1002/ecy.2622) (PMID:30644540) (PMCID:PMC6850360)
Hooten, M.B., Scharf, H.R. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Running on empty: recharge dynamics from animal movement data. Ecology Letters, 22(2), pp. 377-389. (doi: 10.1111/ele.13198) (PMID:30548152)
Gowda, J.H., Tiribelli, F., Mermoz, M., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J. M. (2019) Fragmentation modulates the response of dichotomous landscapes to fire and seed dispersal. Ecological Modelling, 392, pp. 22-30. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.10.014)
Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Gowda, J.H., Mermoz, M. and Kitzberger, T. (2019) Non-additive effects of alternative stable states on landscape flammability in NW Patagonia: fire history and simulation modelling evidence. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 28(2), pp. 149-159. (doi: 10.1071/WF18073)
Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A., Amico, G. and Morales, J. M. (2018) Diet complementation as a frequency-dependent mechanism conferring advantages to rare plants via dispersal. Functional Ecology, 32(10), pp. 2310-2320. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13152)
Bedriñana-Romano, L., Hucke-Gaete, R., Viddi, F. A., Morales, J. , Williams, R., Ashe, E., Garcés-Vargas, J. and Torres-Florez, J. P. (2018) Integrating multiple data sources for assessing blue whale abundance and distribution in Chilean Northern Patagonia. Diversity and Distributions, 24(7), pp. 991-1004. (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12739)
Sáez, A., Morales, J. M. , Morales, C. L., Harder, L. D. and Aizen, M. A. (2018) The costs and benefits of pollinator dependence: empirically based simulations predict raspberry fruit quality. Ecological Applications, 28(5), pp. 1215-1222. (doi: 10.1002/eap.1720) (PMID:29575300)
di Virgilio, A., Morales, J.M. , Lambertucci, S.A., Shepard, E.L.C. and Wilson, R.P. (2018) Multi-dimensional Precision Livestock Farming: a potential toolbox for sustainable rangeland management. PeerJ, 6, e4867. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.4867) (PMID:29868276) (PMCID:PMC5984589)
Delgado, M.M., Miranda, M., Alvarez, S.J., Gurarie, E., Fagan, W.F., Penteriani, V., di Virgilio, A. and Morales, J.M. (2018) The importance of individual variation in the dynamics of animal collective movements. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 373(1746), 20170008. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0008) (PMID:2958139) (PMCID:PMC5882978)
Tiribelli, F., Kitzberger, T. and Morales, J.M. (2018) Changes in vegetation structure and fuel characteristics along post-fire succession promote alternative stable states and positive fire–vegetation feedbacks. Journal of Vegetation Science, 29(2), pp. 147-156. (doi: 10.1111/jvs.12620)
Landesmann, J.B. and Morales, J.M. (2018) The importance of fire refugia in the recolonization of a fire-sensitive conifer in northern Patagonia. Plant Ecology, 219(4), pp. 455-466. (doi: 10.1007/s11258-018-0808-4)
Morán-López, T., Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. (2018) The role of frugivory in plant diversity maintenance – a simulation approach. Ecography, 41(1), pp. 24-31. (doi: 10.1111/ecog.03220)
Amico, G. C., Sasal, Y., Vidal-Russell, R., Aizen, M. A. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Consequences of disperser behaviour for seedling establishment of a mistletoe species. Austral Ecology: A Journal of Ecology in the Southern Hemisphere, 42(8), pp. 900-907. (doi: 10.1111/aec.12517)
Alarcón, P. A. E., Morales, J. M. , Donázar, J. A., Sánchez-Zapata, J. A., Hiraldo, F. and Lambertucci, S. A. (2017) Sexual-size dimorphism modulates the trade-off between exploiting food and wind resources in a large avian scavenger. Scientific Reports, 7, 11461. (doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-11855-0) (PMID:28904381) (PMCID:PMC5597617)
Blackhall, M., Raffaele, E., Paritsis, J., Tiribelli, F., Morales, J. M. , Kitzberger, T., Gowda, J. H. and Veblen, T. T. (2017) Effects of biological legacies and herbivory on fuels and flammability traits: a long-term experimental study of alternative stable states. Journal of Ecology, 105(5), pp. 1309-1322. (doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12796)
Fenoglio, M. S., Werenkraut, V., Morales, J. M. and Salvo, A. (2017) A hierarchical multi-scale analysis of the spatial relationship between parasitism and host density in urban habitats. Austral Ecology: A Journal of Ecology in the Southern Hemisphere, 42(6), pp. 732-741. (doi: 10.1111/aec.12491)
Leos-Barajas, V., Gangloff, E. J., Adam, T., Langrock, R., van Beest, F. M., Nabe-Nielsen, J. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Multi-scale modeling of animal movement and general behavior data using hidden Markov models with hierarchical structures. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 22(3), pp. 232-248. (doi: 10.1007/s13253-017-0282-9)
Morales, J. M. , di Virgilio, A., del Mar Delgado, M. and Ovaskainen, O. (2017) A general approach to model movement in (highly) fragmented patch networks. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 22(3), pp. 393-412. (doi: 10.1007/s13253-017-0298-1)
Oliver, A. B., Amico, G. C., Rivarola, M. D. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Population dynamics of Dromiciops gliroides (Microbiotheriidae) in an austral temperate forest. Journal of Mammalogy, 98(4), pp. 1179-1184. (doi: 10.1093/jmammal/gyx051)
Tiribelli, F., Amico, G. C., Sasal, Y. and Morales, J. M. (2017) The effect of spatial context and plant characteristics on fruit removal. Acta Oecologica, 82, pp. 69-74. (doi: 10.1016/j.actao.2017.06.002)
Rodríguez-Pérez, J., García, D., Martínez, D. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Seed dispersal by changing frugivore assemblages: a mechanistic test of global change effects. Oikos, 126(5), pp. 671-681. (doi: 10.1111/oik.03176)
Fenoglio, M. S., Videla, M. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Evaluating trap cropping strategies for insect pest control through simulation models. Journal of Pest Science, 90(2), pp. 601-610. (doi: 10.1007/s10340-016-0807-y)
Morán-López, T., Wiegand, T., Morales, J. M. , Valladares, F. and Díaz, M. (2016) Predicting forest management effects on oak–rodent mutualisms. Oikos, 125(10), pp. 1445-1457. (doi: 10.1111/oik.02884)
Carlo, T. A. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Generalist birds promote tropical forest regeneration and increase plant diversity via rare-biased seed dispersal. Ecology, 97(7), pp. 1819-1831. (doi: 10.1890/15-2147.1) (PMID:27859154)
di Virgilio, A. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Towards evenly distributed grazing patterns: Including social context in sheep management strategies. PeerJ, 4, e2152. (doi: 10.7717/peerj.2152) (PMID:27366650) (PMCID:PMC4924134)
Morán-López, T., Robledo-Arnuncio, J. J., Díaz, M., Morales, J. M. , Lázaro-Nogal, A., Zaida, L. and Valladares, F. (2016) Determinants of functional connectivity of holm oak woodlands: fragment size and mouse foraging behavior. Forest Ecology and Management, 368, pp. 111-112. (doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.03.010)
Alarcón, P. A.E., Lambertucci, S. A., Donázar, J. A., Hiraldo, F., Sánchez-Zapata, J. A., Blanco, G. and Morales, J. M. (2016) Movement decisions in natural catastrophes: how a flying scavenger deals with a volcanic eruption. Behavioral Ecology, 27(1), pp. 75-82. (doi: 10.1093/beheco/arv124)
Aráoz, E. and Morales, J. M. (2015) Modeling unobserved variables in dendrochronological age structures improves inferences about population dynamics. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 45(12), pp. 1720-1727. (doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2015-0073)
Campbell, H.A. et al. (2015) Finding our way: on the sharing and reuse of animal telemetry data in Australasia. Science of the Total Environment, 534, pp. 79-84. (doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.01.089) (PMID:25669144)
Matthiopoulos, J. , Fieberg, J., Aarts, G., Beyer, H. L., Morales, J. M. and Haydon, D. T. (2015) Establishing the link between habitat selection and animal population dynamics. Ecological Monographs, 85(3), pp. 413-436. (doi: 10.1890/14-2244.1)
Morales, J. M. , Mermoz, M., Gowda, J. H. and Kitzberger, T. (2015) A stochastic fire spread model for north Patagonia based on fire occurrence maps. Ecological Modelling, 300, pp. 73-80. (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.01.004)
Barbar, F., Werenkraut, V., Morales, J. M. and Lambertucci, S. A. (2015) Emerging ecosystems change the spatial distribution of top carnivores even in poorly populated areas. PLoS ONE, 10(3), e0118851. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118851) (PMID:25799547) (PMCID:PMC4370498)
Di Virgilio, A., Amico, G. C. and Morales, J. M. (2014) Behavioral traits of the arboreal marsupial Dromiciops gliroides during Tristerix corymbosus fruiting season. Journal of Mammalogy, 95(6), pp. 1189-1198. (doi: 10.1644/13-MAMM-A-281)
Gimenez, O. et al. (2014) Statistical ecology comes of age. Biology Letters, 10(12), 20140698. (doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2014.0698) (PMID:25540151) (PMCID:PMC4298184)
McClintock, B.T., Johnson, D.S., Hooten, M.B., Ver Hoef, J.M. and Morales, J.M. (2014) When to be discrete: the importance of time formulation in understanding animal movement. Movement Ecology, 2, 21. (doi: 10.1186/s40462-014-0021-6) (PMID:25709830) (PMCID:PMC4337762)
Merkle, J. A., Fortin, D. and Morales, J. M. (2014) A memory-based foraging tactic reveals an adaptive mechanism for restricted space use. Ecology Letters, 17(8), pp. 924-931. (doi: 10.1111/ele.12294) (PMID:24811575)
Ramos-Fernández, G. and Morales, J. M. (2014) Unraveling fission-fusion dynamics: how subgroup properties and dyadic interactions influence individual decisions. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology, 68, pp. 1225-1235. (doi: 10.1007/s00265-014-1733-8)
Abramson, G., Kuperman, M. N., Morales, J. M. and Miller, J. C. (2014) Space use by foragers consuming renewable resources. European Physical Journal B, 87, 100. (doi: 10.1140/epjb/e2014-50032-6)
Delgado, M. D. M., Penteriani, V., Morales, J. M. , Gurarie, E. and Ovaskainen, O. (2014) A statistical framework for inferring the influence of conspecifics on movement behaviour. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5(2), pp. 183-189. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12154)
Morales, J. M. , García, D., Martínez, D., Rodriguez-Pérez, J. and Herrera, J. M. (2013) Frugivore behavioural details matter for seed dispersal: a multi-species model for Cantabrian thrushes and trees. PLoS ONE, 8(6), e65216. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065216) (PMID:23776452) (PMCID:PMC3679117)
Beyer, H.L., Morales, J.M. , Murray, D. and Fortin, M.-J. (2013) The effectiveness of Bayesian state-space models for estimating behavioural states from movement paths. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4(5), pp. 433-441. (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12026)
Carlo, T.A., García, D., Martínez, D., Gleditsch, J.M. and Morales, J.M. (2013) Where do seeds go when they go far? Distance and directionality of avian seed dispersal in heterogeneous landscapes. Ecology, 94(2), pp. 301-307. (doi: 10.1890/12-0913.1) (PMID:23691649)
García, D., Martínez, D., Herrera, J. M. and Morales, J. M. (2013) Functional heterogeneity in a plant–frugivore assemblage enhances seed dispersal resilience to habitat loss. Ecography, 36(2), pp. 197-208. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07519.x)
Sasal, Y. and Morales, J. M. (2013) Linking frugivore behavior to plant population dynamics. Oikos, 122(1), pp. 95-103. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2012.20669.x)
Morales, J. M. , Rivarola, M. D., Amico, G. and Carlo, T. A. (2012) Neighborhood effects on seed dispersal by frugivores: testing theory with a mistletoe–marsupial system in Patagonia. Ecology, 93(4), pp. 741-748. (doi: 10.1890/11-0935.1) (PMID:22690625)
Kitzberger, T., Aráoz, E., Gowda, J. H., Mermoz, M. and Morales, J. M. (2012) Decreases in fire spread probability with forest age promotes alternative community states, reduced resilience to climate variability and large fire regime shifts. Ecosystems, 15, pp. 97-112. (doi: 10.1007/s10021-011-9494-y)
Garibaldi, L.A. et al. (2011) Stability of pollination services decreases with isolation from natural areas despite honey bee visits. Ecology Letters, 14(10), pp. 1062-1072. (doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01669.x) (PMID:21806746)
Herrera, J.M., Morales, J.M. and García, D. (2011) Differential effects of fruit availability and habitat cover for frugivore-mediated seed dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Journal of Ecology, 99(5), pp. 1100-1107. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01861.x)
Morales, J.M. (2011) The metapopulation that was not? Animal Conservation, 14(3), pp. 227-228. (doi: 10.1111/j.1469-1795.2011.00463.x)
Herrera, J.M., García, D. and Morales, J. M. (2011) Matrix effects on plant-frugivore and plant-predator interactions in forest fragments. Landscape Ecology, 26, pp. 125-135. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-010-9541-7)
Smouse, P.E., Focardi, S., Moorcroft, P.R., Kie, J.G., Forester, J.D. and Morales, J.M. (2010) Stochastic modelling of animal movement. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1550), pp. 2201-2211. (doi: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0078) (PMID:20566497) (PMCID:PMC2894957)
Dalziel, B.D., Morales, J.M. and Fryxell, J.M. (2010) Fitting dynamic models to animal movement data: the importance of probes for model selection, a reply to Franz and Caillaud. American Naturalist, 175(6), pp. 762-764. (doi: 10.1086/652521) (PMID:20408750)
Lambertucci, S.A., Speziale, K.L., Rogers, T.E. and Morales, J.M. (2009) How do roads affect the habitat use of an assemblage of scavenging raptors? Biodiversity and Conservation, 18(8), pp. 2063-2074. (doi: 10.1007/s10531-008-9573-3)
Barton, K. A., Phillips, B. L., Morales, J. M. and Travis, J. M. J. (2009) The evolution of an ‘intelligent’ dispersal strategy: biased, correlated random walks in patchy landscapes. Oikos, 118(2), pp. 309-319. (doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.16936.x)
Frair, J.L., Merrill, E.H., Beyer, H.L. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Thresholds in landscape connectivity and mortality risks in response to growing road networks. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45(5), pp. 1504-1513. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01526.x)
Morales, J.M. and Vázquez, D.P. (2008) The effect of space in plant-animal mutualistic networks: insights from a simulation study. Oikos, 117(9), pp. 1362-1370. (doi: 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2008.16737.x)
Dalziel, B.D., Morales, J.M. and Fryxell, J.M. (2008) Fitting probability distributions to animal movement trajectories: using artificial neural networks to link distance, resources, and memory. American Naturalist, 172(2), pp. 248-258. (doi: 10.1086/589448) (PMID:18598199)
Carlo, T.A. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Inequalities in fruit-removal and seed dispersal: consequences of bird behaviour, neighbourhood density and landscape aggregation. Journal of Ecology, 96(4), pp. 609-618. (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2008.01379.x)
Aizen, M.A., Morales, C.L. and Morales, J.M. (2008) Invasive mutualists erode native pollination webs. PLoS Biology, 6(2), e31. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.0060031) (PMID:18271628) (PMCID:PMC2235906)
Morales, J.M. and Carlo, T.A. (2006) The effects of plant distribution and frugivore density on the scale and shape of dispersal kernels. Ecology, 87(6), pp. 1489-1496. (doi: 10.1890/0012-9658%282006%2987%5B1489%3ATEOPDA%5D2.0.CO%3B2)
Fortin, D., Morales, J.M. and Boyce, M.S. (2005) Elk winter foraging at fine scale in Yellowstone National Park. Oecologia, 145(2), pp. 334-342. (doi: 10.1007/s00442-005-0122-4) (PMID:15965755)
Frair, J.L., Merrill, E.H., Visscher, D.R., Fortin, D., Beyer, H.L. and Morales, J.M. (2005) Scales of movement by elk (Cervus elaphus) in response to heterogeneity in forage resources and predation risk. Landscape Ecology, 20(3), pp. 273-287. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-005-2075-8)
Morales, J.M. , Fortin, D., Frair, J.L. and Merrill, E.H. (2005) Adaptive models for large herbivore movements in heterogeneous landscapes. Landscape Ecology, 20(3), pp. 301-316. (doi: 10.1007/s10980-005-0061-9)
Morales, J.M. , Haydon, D.T., Frair, J., Holsinger, K.E. and Fryxell, J.M. (2004) Extracting more out of relocation data: Building movement models as mixtures of random walks. Ecology, 85(9), pp. 2436-2445. (doi: 10.1890/03-0269)
Chacoff, N.P., Morales, J.M. and Vaquera, M.D.P. (2004) Effects of habitat fragmentation on the abortion and predation of seeds in Chaco Serrano = Efectos de la fragmentación sobre la aborción y depredación de semillas en el Chaco Serrano. Biotropica, 36(1), pp. 109-117. (doi: 10.1111/j.1744-7429.2004.tb00301.x)
Aragón, R. and Morales, J.M. (2003) Species composition and invasion in NW Argentinian secondary forests: effects of land use history, environment and landscape. Journal of Vegetation Science: Advances in plant community ecology, 14(2), pp. 195-204. (doi: 10.1111/j.1654-1103.2003.tb02144.x)
Morales, J.M. (2002) Behavior at habitat boundaries can produce leptokurtic movement distributions. American Naturalist, 160(4), pp. 531-538. (doi: 10.1086/342076)
Morales, J.M. and Ellner, S.P. (2002) Scaling up animal movements in heterogeneous landscapes: the importance of behavior. Ecology, 83(8), pp. 2240-2247. (doi: 10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2240:SUAMIH]2.0.CO;2)
Adler, P.B. and Morales, J.M. (1999) Influence of environmental factors and sheep grazing on an Andean grassland. Journal of Range Management, 52(5), pp. 471-481. (doi: 10.2307/4003774)
Morales, J.M. (1999) Viability in a pink environment: why "white noise" models can be dangerous. Ecology Letters, 2(4), pp. 228-232. (doi: 10.1046/j.1461-0248.1999.00074.x)
Morales, J.M. (1996) Unsaturated arboreal communities in Argentine montane forests = Comunidades arboreas no saturadas en las Yungas de Argentina. Ecologia Austral, 6(1), pp. 17-22.
Books
Hooten, M. B., Johnson, D. S., McClintock, B. T. and Morales, J. M. (2017) Animal movement: Statistical Models for Telemetry Data. CRC Press: Boca Raton, pp. 1-306. ISBN 9781466582149 (doi: 10.1201/9781315117744)
Book Sections
Campioni, N., Husmeier, D. , Morales, J. M. , Gaskell, J. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Modelling multiscale collective behavior with Gaussian processes. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 124. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.124)
Gaskell, J. , Campioni, N., Morales, J. M. , Husmeier, D. and Torney, C. J. (2020) Approximate Bayesian inference for individual-based models with emergent dynamics. In: Ladde, G. and Samia, N. (eds.) Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA'20). Avestia Publishing: Ottawa, Canada, p. 125. ISBN 9781927877685 (doi: 10.11159/icsta20.125)
Carlo, T.A., Aukema, J.E. and Morales, J.M. (2007) Plant-frugivore interactions as spatially explicit networks: integrating frugivore foraging with fruiting plant spatial patterns. In: Dennis, A. J., Schupp, E. W., Green, R. J. and Westcott, D. A. (eds.) Seed Dispersal: Theory and its Application in a Changing World. CABI: Wallingford, pp. 369-390. ISBN 9781845931650 (doi: 10.1079/9781845931650.0369)
Grants
Grants and Awards listed are those received whilst working with the University of Glasgow.
- Assessing the risk of insect vector-borne diseases in Scotland and their response to environmental change.
UK Research and Innovation
2023 - 2026
Supervision
- Burgueno, Mercedes
Reciprocal interactions between behaviour and parasites in the sheep-Fasciola system - Ten Doeschate, Mariel
Pathology of Strandings Surveillance Data
Professional activities & recognition
Editorial boards
- 2021 - 2023: Ecological Applications
- 2014 - 2023: Proceedings of the Royal Society B
- 2013 - 2023: Movement Ecology
Research datasets
2021
Torney, C. , Morales, J. and Husmeier, D. (2021) A hierarchical machine learning framework for the analysis of large scale animal movement data. [Data Collection]
2020
Kabalika, Z., Morrison, T. , McGill, R. , Munishi, L. K., Ekwem, D., Mahene, W. L., Lobora, A. L., Newton, J. , Morales, J., Haydon, D. and Hopcraft, G. (2020) Tracking animal movements using biomarkers from tail hairs: A novel approach for animal geolocating from sulfur isoscapes. [Data Collection]