Professor Peter Craig
- Professor of Public Health Evaluation (MRC/CSO Social & Public Health Sciences Unit)
telephone:
01413537559
email:
Peter.Craig@glasgow.ac.uk
MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Clarice Pears Building, 90 Byres Road, Glasgow, G12 8TB
Biography
I co-lead the Inequalities in Health programme at SPHSU. I studied social policy at the Universities of Leeds and Bristol, and epidemiology at the University of Edinburgh. Before joining the University of Glasgow in 2014, I worked for the UK and Scottish Governments as a researcher and research manager. From 2006-11 I combined this role with managing the MRC Population Health Sciences Research Network.
Here are links to my Google Scholar and ORCID pages.
Research interests
I work on the development and application of robust methods for the evaluation of policies that affect population health. I'm particularly interested in the use of natural experimental approaches to evaluate interventions that cannot be tested in randomised trials, and in the use of evaluability assessments to inform decision-making about when and how to evaluate population health policies and other complex interventions.
Publications
2024
Tweed, E. J. , Cimova, K. , Craig, P. , Allik, M. , Brown, D. , Campbell, M. , Henderson, D., Mayor, C., Meier, P. and Watson, N. (2024) Unlocking data: decision-maker perspectives on cross-sectoral data sharing and linkage as part of a whole-systems approach to public health policy and practice. Public Health Research, (doi: 10.3310/KYTW2173) (PMID:39582242) (Early Online Publication)
Igelström, E. , Kopasker, D. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2024) Estimating the causal effects of income on health: how researchers’ definitions of “income” matter. BMC Public Health, 24, 1572. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-19049-w) (PMID:38862961)
Kopasker, D. et al. (2024) Evaluating the influence of taxation and social security policies on psychological distress: a microsimulation study of the UK during the COVID-19 economic crisis. Social Science and Medicine, 351, 116953. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116953) (PMID:38759385)
Simpson, H. et al. (2024) Is There a Window of Opportunity to Effect Positive Health Behaviour Prior to Surgery? A Two Centre Open Label Randomised Controlled Feasibility Trial of a Preoperative Package of Care for Osteoarthritis, Consisting of Weight Loss, Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and Oral Analgesia (OPPORTUNITY). 2024 OARSI World Congress on Osteoarthritis, Vienna, Austria, 18-21 Apr 2024. S578. (doi: 10.1016/j.joca.2024.02.853)
Simpson, A. H. R.W. et al. (2024) A preoperative package of care for osteoarthritis, consisting of weight loss, orthotics, rehabilitation, topical and oral analgesia (OPPORTUNITY): A two centre open label randomised controlled feasibility trial. Lancet Rheumatology, 6(4), E237-E246. (doi: 10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00337-5) (PMID:38423028)
Skivington, K. , Craig, N., Craig, P. , Rycroft-Malone, J., Matthews, L., Simpson, S. A. and Moore, L. (2024) Introducing the revised framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: a challenge and a resource for nursing research. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 154, 104748. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2024.104748) (PMID:38564983)
Dewidar, O. et al. (2024) Reporting of equity in observational epidemiology: a methodological review. Journal of Global Health, 14, 04046. (doi: 10.7189/jogh.14.04046) (PMID:38491911) (PMCID:PMC10903926)
Skivington, K. et al. (2024) Reprint of: 'A new framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: update of Medical Research Council guidance'. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 154, 104705. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2024.104705) (PMID:38564982)
2023
Dundas, R. et al. (2023) Evaluation of the Healthy Start Voucher Scheme in UK: a natural experiment using the Growing Up in Scotland record linkage study and the Infant Feeding Survey. Public Health Research, 11(11), (doi: 10.3310/RTEU2107) (PMID:37953640)
McMeekin, N. et al. (2023) Implementation of a national smoke-free prison policy: an economic evaluation within the Tobacco in Prisons (TIPs) study. Tobacco Control, 32(6), pp. 701-708. (doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2021-056991) (PMID:35256533) (PMCID:PMC7615232)
Cheetham, M., Gibson, M. , Morris, S., Bambra, C. and Craig, P. (2023) The Mental Health Effects of Universal Credit: Qualitative Findings from a Mixed Methods Study. Society for Social Medicine Annual Scientific Meeting, Newcastle, UK, 06-08 Sep 2023. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-SSMabstracts.26)
Wang, X. et al. (2023) A scoping review establishes need for consensus guidance on reporting health equity in observational studies. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 160, pp. 126-140. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.06.009) (PMID:37330072)
McCabe, R. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2023) The health impact of Scotland's Baby Box Scheme: a natural experiment evaluation using national linked health data. Lancet Public Health, 8(7), e504-e510. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(23)00121-4) (PMID:37393089) (PMCID:PMC10323308)
Albers, P. N. et al. (2023) Natural experiments for the evaluation of place-based public health interventions: a methodology scoping review. Frontiers in Public Health, 11, 1192055. (doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1192055) (PMID:37427271) (PMCID:PMC10323422)
Flores-Ortiz, R. et al. (2023) Subsidised housing and diabetes mortality: a retrospective cohort study of 10 million low-income adults in Brazil. BMJ Open Diabetes Research and Care, 11(3), e003224. (doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2022-003224) (PMID:37349106) (PMCID:PMC10314413)
Green, M. J. , Craig, P. , Demou, E. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. H. and Pearce, A. (2023) Understanding inequalities in mental health by family structure during COVID-19 lockdowns: evidence from the UK household longitudinal study. Annals of General Psychiatry, 22(1), 24. (doi: 10.1186/s12991-023-00454-1) (PMID:37280641) (PMCID:PMC10242239)
Brown, H. et al. (2023) Exploring the health and sociodemographic characteristics of people seeking advice with claiming universal credit: a cross-sectional analysis of UK citizens advice data, 2017–2021. BMC Public Health, 23, 595. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15483-4) (PMID:36997889) (PMCID:PMC10060933)
Funnell, S. et al. (2023) Improving social justice in observational studies: protocol for the development of a global and indigenous STROBE-equity reporting guideline. International Journal for Equity in Health, 22, 5. (doi: 10.1186/s12939-023-01854-1) (PMID:36991403) (PMCID:PMC10060140)
Jaacks, L. M. et al. (2023) Co-Benefits of Largescale Organic farming On huMan health (BLOOM): protocol for a cluster-randomised controlled evaluation of the Andhra Pradesh Community-managed Natural Farming programme in India. PLoS ONE, 18(3), e0281677. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281677) (PMID:36862623) (PMCID:PMC9980745)
McCabe, R. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Dundas, R. , Gissler, M. and Craig, P. (2023) Impact of the Finnish Maternity Grant on infant mortality rates in the 20th century: a natural experimental study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 77(1), pp. 34-37. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2022-219488) (PMID:36302615) (PMCID:PMC9763162)
2022
Pescarini, J. M. et al. (2022) Impact of Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Programme on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality: a natural experiment study using the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort. International Journal of Epidemiology, 51(6), pp. 1847-1861. (doi: 10.1093/ije/dyac188) (PMID:36172959) (PMCID:PMC9749722)
Igelstrom, E. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. , Lynch, J., Pearce, A. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2022) Causal inference and effect estimation using observational data. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 76(11), pp. 960-966. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2022-219267) (PMCID:PMC9554068)
Craig, P. et al. (2022) Making better use of natural experimental evaluation in population health. British Medical Journal, 379, e070872. (doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-070872) (PMID:36280251) (PMCID:PMC7613963)
Cheetham, M., Atkinson, P.J., Gibson, M. , Katikireddi, S.V. , Moffatt, S., Morris, S., Munford, L., Shenton, F., Wickham, S. and Craig, P. (2022) Exploring the mental health effects of Universal Credit: a journey of co-production. Perspectives in Public Health, 142(4), pp. 209-212. (doi: 10.1177/17579139221103178) (PMID:35833554) (PMCID:PMC9284081)
Kromydas, T., Green, M. , Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. H. , Niedzwiedz, C. L. , Pearce, A. , Thomson, R. M. and Demou, E. (2022) Comparing population-level mental health of UK workers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a longitudinal study using Understanding Society. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 76(6), pp. 527-536. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2021-218561) (PMID:35296523) (PMCID:PMC8931794)
Craig, P. et al. (2022) Evaluation of the mental health impacts of universal credit: protocol for a mixed methods study. BMJ Open, 12(4), e061340. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061340) (PMID:35396318) (PMCID:PMC8996017)
Hilton Boon, M. , Burns, J., Craig, P. , Griebler, U., Heise, T. L., Katikireddi, V. , Rehfuess, E., Shepperd, S., Thomson, H. and Bero, L. (2022) Value and challenges of using observational studies in systematic reviews of public health interventions. American Journal of Public Health, 112(4), pp. 548-552. (doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2021.306658) (PMID:35319925)
Kromydas, T., Campbell, M. , Chambers, S. , Hilton Boon, M. , Pearce, A. , Wells, V. and Craig, P. (2022) The effects of school summer holidays on inequalities in children and young people's mental health and cognitive ability in the UK. A secondary analysis from the Millennium cohort study. BMC Public Health, 22, 154. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-12540-2) (PMID:35065629) (PMCID:PMC8782677)
Hunt, K. et al. (2022) Process and impact of implementing a smoke-free policy in prisons in Scotland: TIPs mixed-methods study. Public Health Research, 10(1), (doi: 10.3310/WGLF1204) (PMID:35129938)
2021
Igelstrom, E. , Campbell, M. , Craig, P. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2021) Cochrane's risk of bias tool for non-randomized studies (ROBINS-I) is frequently misapplied: A methodological systematic review. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 140, pp. 22-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.08.022) (PMID:34437948) (PMCID:PMC8809341)
Tweed, E. J. et al. (2021) Evaluation of a national smoke-free prisons policy using medication dispensing: an interrupted time-series analysis. Lancet Public Health, 6(11), e795-e804. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00163-8) (PMID:34537108) (PMCID:PMC8554387)
Skivington, K. et al. (2021) A new framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: update of Medical Research Council guidance. British Medical Journal, 374, n2061. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.n2061) (PMID:34593508)
Chng, N. R. , Craig, P. and Mccrorie, P. (2021) Cargo Bike Library Evaluability Assessment. Project Report. University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Skivington, K. et al. (2021) Framework for the development and evaluation of complex interventions: gap analysis, workshop and consultation-informed update. Health Technology Assessment, 25(57), (doi: 10.3310/hta25570) (PMID:34590577)
Moore, G. et al. (2021) Adapting interventions for new contexts: The ADAPT guidance. British Medical Journal, 374, n1679. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1679)
Kwasnicka, D., Boroujerdi, M., O’Gorman, A., Anderson, M. , Craig, P. , Bowman, L. and McCann, M. (2021) An N-of-1 study of daily alcohol consumption following minimum unit pricing implementation in Scotland. Addiction, 116(7), pp. 1725-1733. (doi: 10.1111/add.15382) (PMID:33372333) (PMCID:PMC8248017)
Ferreira, A. J.F. et al. (2021) Evaluating the health effect of a Social Housing programme, Minha Casa Minha Vida, using the 100 million Brazilian Cohort: A natural experiment study protocol. BMJ Open, 11(3), e041722. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041722) (PMID:33649053) (PMCID:PMC8098948)
de Vocht, F., Katikireddi, S. V. , McQuire, C., Tilling, K., Hickman, M. and Craig, P. (2021) Conceptualising natural and quasi experiments in public health. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 21(1), 32. (doi: 10.1186/s12874-021-01224-x) (PMID:33573595) (PMCID:PMC7879679)
Baxter, A. J. , Dundas, R. , Popham, F. and Craig, P. (2021) How effective was England’s teenage pregnancy strategy? A comparative analysis of high-income countries. Social Science and Medicine, 270, 113685. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113685) (PMID:33434717) (PMCID:PMC7895815)
Hilton Boon, M. , Craig, P. , Thomson, H. , Campbell, M. and Moore, L. (2021) Regression discontinuity designs in health: a systematic review. Epidemiology, 32(1), pp. 87-93. (doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001274) (PMID:33196561) (PMCID:PMC7707156)
Niedzwiedz, C. L. et al. (2021) Mental health and health behaviours before and during the initial phase of the COVID-19 lockdown: longitudinal analyses of the UK Household Longitudinal Study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 75(3), pp. 224-231. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2020-215060) (PMID:32978210) (PMCID:PMC7892383)
2020
Pescarini, J. M., Craig, P. , Allik, M. , Amorim, L., Ali, S., Smeeth, L., Barreto, M. L., Leyland, A. H. , Aquino, E. M.L. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2020) Evaluating the impact of the Bolsa Familia conditional cash transfer program on premature cardiovascular and all-cause mortality using the 100 million Brazilian cohort: A natural experiment study protocol. BMJ Open, 10, e039658. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039658) (PMID:33444195) (PMCID:PMC7682454)
Anyanwu, P. E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Green, M. J. (2020) Impact of UK tobacco control policies on inequalities in youth smoking uptake: a natural experiment study. Nicotine and Tobacco Research, 22(11), pp. 1973-1980. (doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntaa101) (PMID:32469404) (PMCID:PMC7593354)
Whitley, E. , Craig, P. and Popham, F. (2020) Impact of the statutory concessionary travel scheme on bus travel among older people: a natural experiment from England. Ageing and Society, 40(11), pp. 2480-2494. (doi: 10.1017/S0144686X19000692) (PMID:33071389) (PMCID:PMC7116195)
Campbell, M. , Moore, G., Evans, R. E., Khodyakov, D. and Craig, P. (2020) The Adapt Study: adaptation of evidence-informed complex population health interventions for implementation and/or re-evaluation in new contexts: protocol for a Delphi consensus exercise to develop guidance. BMJ Open, 10, e038965. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038965) (PMID:32690750) (PMCID:PMC7375505)
Burnett, D. et al. (2020) Protecting the health of the working-age population as lockdown reduces. Documentation. Public Health Scotland.
Butler, J., Black, C., Craig, P. , Dibben, C., Dundas, R. , Hilton Boon, M. and Popham, F. (2020) The long-term health effects of attending a selective school: a natural experiment. BMC Medicine, 18, 77. (doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01536-7) (PMID:32241252) (PMCID:PMC7118818)
Craig, P. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2020) Early impacts of Universal Credit: the tip of the iceberg? Lancet Public Health, 5(3), e131-e132. (doi: 10.1016/s2468-2667(20)30036-0) (PMID:32113516)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2020) The public health effects of interventions similar to basic income: a scoping review. Lancet Public Health, 5(3), e165-e176. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30005-0) (PMID:32113520) (PMCID:PMC7208547)
Simpson, A. H. R. W. et al. (2020) Osteoarthritis Preoperative Package for care of Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and oral agent Usage and Nutrition to Improve ouTcomes at a Year (OPPORTUNITY); a feasibility study protocol for a randomised controlled trial. Trials, 21, 209. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-019-3709-5) (PMID:32075663) (PMCID:PMC7031939)
2019
Mccrorie, P. , Chng, N. R. and Craig, P. (2019) Evaluability Assessment - Sustrans I Bike Communities Programme. Project Report. University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Richards, D. A. et al. (2019) Integrating quantitative and qualitative data and findings when undertaking randomised controlled trials. BMJ Open, 9(11), e032081. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032081) (PMID:31772096) (PMCID:PMC6886933)
Hunt, K. et al. (2019) Smoke-free prison policy development, implementation, and impact across the entire national prison service in Scotland (TIPs study): a three-phase, mixed methods natural experimental evaluation. Lancet, 394(S2), S15. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32812-0)
Brunner, R. , Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2019) Evaluability assessment: an application in a complex community improvement setting. Evaluation, 25(3), pp. 349-365. (doi: 10.1177/1356389019852126) (PMID:31379464) (PMCID:PMC6628461)
Evans, R. E. et al. (2019) When and how do 'effective' interventions need to be adapted and/or re-evaluated in new contexts? The need for guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 73(6), pp. 481-482. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-210840) (PMID:30787038) (PMCID:PMC6581090)
2018
Craig, P. et al. (2018) Development of guidance for feasibility studies to decide whether and how to proceed to full-scale evaluation of complex public health interventions: a systematic review. The Lancet 392(S2):S7. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32265-7)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2018) Potential Effects of Universal Basic Income: a Scoping Review of Evidence on Impacts and Study Characteristics. The Lancet 392(S2):S36. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32083-X)
Skivington, K. , Matthews, L. , Craig, P. , Simpson, S. and Moore, L. (2018) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: updating Medical Research Council guidance to take account of new methodological and theoretical approaches. The Lancet 392(S2):S2. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32865-4)
Moore, L. , Hallingberg, B., Wight, D. , Turley, R., Segrott, J., Craig, P. , Robling, M., Murphy, S., Simpson, S. M. and Moore, G. (2018) Exploratory studies to inform full-scale evaluations of complex public health interventions: the need for guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(10), pp. 865-866. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-210414) (PMID:30030296) (PMCID:PMC6161652)
Anyanwu, P.E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S.V. and Green, M.J. (2018) Does Parental Smoking Explain Impacts of Smoke-free Public Places Legislation on Youth Smoking Initiation in the UK? Society for Social Medicine 62nd Annual Scientific Meeting, Glasgow, UK, 5-7 Sep 2018. A27.2-A28. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-SSMabstracts.56)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2018) Universal basic income: a scoping review of evidence on impacts and study characteristics. Project Report. What Works Scotland.
Bouttell, J. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. , Robinson, M. and Popham, F. (2018) Synthetic control methodology as a tool for evaluating population-level health interventions. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(8), pp. 673-678. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-210106) (PMID:29653993) (PMCID:PMC6204967)
Grant, S., Mayo-Wilson, E., Montgomery, P., Macdonald, G., Michie, S., Hopewell, S., Moher, D. and CONSORT-SPI Group, (2018) CONSORT-SPI 2018 explanation and elaboration: guidance for reporting social and psychological intervention trials. Trials, 19(1), 406. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-018-2735-z)
Montgomery, P., Grant, S., Mayo-Wilson, E., Macdonald, G., Michie, S., Hopewell, S., Moher, D. and CONSORT-SPI Group, (2018) Reporting randomised trials of social and psychological interventions: the CONSORT-SPI 2018 Extension. Trials, 19(1), 407. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-018-2733-1)
Campbell, M. , Escobar, O., Fenton, C. and Craig, P. (2018) The impact of participatory budgeting on health and wellbeing: a scoping review of evaluations. BMC Public Health, 18, 822. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5735-8) (PMID:29970044) (PMCID:PMC6029380)
Katikireddi, S. V. , Molaodi, O. R., Gibson, M. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2018) Effects of restrictions to Income Support on health of lone mothers in the UK: a natural experiment study. Lancet Public Health, 3(7), e333-e340. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30109-9) (PMID:29976327) (PMCID:PMC6038023)
Hallingberg, B., Turley, R., Segrott, J., Wight, D. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. , Murphy, S., Robling, M., Simpson, S. and Moore, G. (2018) Exploratory studies to decide whether and how to proceed with full-scale evaluations of public health interventions: a systematic review of guidance. Pilot and Feasibility Studies, 4, 104. (doi: 10.1186/s40814-018-0290-8) (PMID:29854417) (PMCID:PMC5971430)
Campbell, M. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Hoffmann, T., Armstrong, R., Waters, E. and Craig, P. (2018) TIDieR-PHP: a reporting guideline for population health and policy interventions. British Medical Journal, 361, k1079. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.k1079) (PMID:29769210) (PMCID:PMC5954974)
Craig, P. et al. (2018) Taking account of context in population health intervention research: guidance for producers, users and funders of research. Project Report. NIHR Evaluation, Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre. (doi: 10.3310/CIHR-NIHR-01).
Anyanwu, P. E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Green, M. J. (2018) Impacts of smoke-free public places legislation on inequalities in youth smoking uptake: study protocol for a secondary analysis of UK survey data. BMJ Open, 8(3), e022490. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-022490) (PMID:29593026) (PMCID:PMC5875608)
Craig, P. , Gibson, M. , Campbell, M. , Popham, F. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2018) Making the most of natural experiments: What can studies of the withdrawal of public health interventions offer? Preventive Medicine, 108, pp. 17-22. (doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2017.12.025) (PMID:29288780) (PMCID:PMC6711756)
Thomson, H. , Craig, P. , Hilton-Boon, M. , Campbell, M. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2018) Applying the ROBINS-I tool to natural experiments: an example from public health. Systematic Reviews, 7, 15. (doi: 10.1186/s13643-017-0659-4) (PMID:29368630) (PMCID:PMC5784724)
2017
Bouttell, J. , Popham, F. , Lewsey, J. , Robinson, M. and Craig, P. (2017) Synthetic Control Methodology as a Tool for Evaluating Public Health Interventions: A Guide to the Method and Case Study. Lancet Public Health Science Conference, London, UK, 24 Nov 2017.
Dundas, R. , Molaodi, O., Gibson, M. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Craig, P. (2017) Health Impacts of UK Lone Parent Obligations: A Natural Experiment Study Using Data from the UK Household Panel Survey, Understanding Society. The Lancet 390(S3):S2. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2017, London, UK, 24 Nov 2017. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32937-9)
Katikireddi, S. , Molaodi, O., Gibson, M. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2017) Evaluating the Health Impacts of Restrictions to Income Support for Lone Parents: A Natural Experiment Study Using Understanding Society. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 71(Suppl. 1):A38. Society for Social Medicine, 61st Annual Scientific Meeting, Manchester, UK, 5-8 Sept 2017. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-SSMAbstracts.75)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W., Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2017) Review Protocol. The Impact of Universal Basic Income: A Scoping Review of Evaluations and Outcomes. Documentation. MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Craig, P. (2017) A new CONSORT extension should improve the reporting of randomized pilot and feasibility trials. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 84, pp. 30-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2017.01.009) (PMID:28214550)
Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. and Popham, F. (2017) Natural experiments: An overview of methods, approaches, and contributions to public health intervention research. Annual Review of Public Health, 38, pp. 39-56. (doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031816-044327) (PMID:28125392)
Brunner, R. , Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2017) Evaluability Assessment of Thriving Places: a Report for Glasgow Community Planning Partnership. Other. What Works Scotland.
2016
Craig, P. , Dundas, R. , Leyland, A. and Popham, F. (2016) How successful was the English teenage pregnancy strategy? Response to Wellings K, Palmer MJ, Gear RS et al. Changes in conceptions in women younger than 18 years and the circumstances of young mothers in England in 2000-12: an observational study. Lancet, 388(10060), p. 2604. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32223-1) (PMID:27894659) (PMCID:PMC6742502)
Campbell, M. , Escobar, O. and Craig, P. (2016) The impact of Participatory Budgeting: a scoping review of evaluations and outcomes. [Protocols]
Eldridge, S. M. et al. (2016) CONSORT 2010 Statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. British Medical Journal, 355, i5239. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.i5239) (PMID:27777223) (PMCID:PMC5076380)
Hilton Boon, M.L. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. and Thomson, H. (2016) OP69 Regression discontinuity designs in the evaluation of health interventions, policies, and outcomes: a systematic review. Society for Social Medicine 60th Annual Scientific Meeting, York, UK, 14-16 Sep 2016. A39.2-A39. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2016-208064.69)
McCartney, G. et al. (2016) Explaining trends in alcohol-related harms in Scotland, 1991–2011 (I): the role of incomes, effects of socio-economic and political adversity and demographic change. Public Health, 132, pp. 13-23. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2015.12.013) (PMID:26917268)
McCartney, G. et al. (2016) Explaining trends in alcohol-related harms in Scotland 1991–2011 (II): policy, social norms, the alcohol market, clinical changes and a synthesis. Public Health, 132, pp. 24-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2015.12.012) (PMID:26921977)
2015
Armstrong, R., Campbell, M. , Craig, P. , Hoffmann, T., Katikireddi, S. V. and Waters, E. (2015) Reporting guidelines for population health and policy interventions: TIDieR-PHP. Lancet, 386(Supp 2), S19. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00857-0)
Beaton, M., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S.V. , Jepson, R. and Williams, A. (2015) Evaluability assessment of Free School Meals for all children in P1 to P3. Project Report. NHS Health Scotland, Edinburgh.
Pinnock, H., Epiphaniou, E., Sheikh, A., Griffiths, C., Eldridge, S., Craig, P. and Taylor, S. J.C. (2015) Developing standards for reporting implementation studies of complex interventions (StaRI): a systematic review and e-Delphi. Implementation Science, 10, 42. (doi: 10.1186/s13012-015-0235-z) (PMID:25888928) (PMCID:PMC4393562)
Wimbush, E., Geddes, R., Woodman, K., Craig, P. and Jepson, R. (2015) Evaluability Assessment of the Family Nurse Partnership in Scotland. Project Report. NHS Health Scotland, Edinburgh.
Craig, P. (2015) Foreword. In: Rahm Hallberg, I.R. and Richards, D.A. (eds.) Complex Interventions in Health: An Overview of Research Methods. Routledge: Abingdon. ISBN 9780415703161
Craig, P. (2015) Synthetic Controls: A New Approach to Evaluating Interventions. Working Paper. What Works Scotland.
Craig, P. and Campbell, M. (2015) Evaluability Assessment: A Systematic Approach to Deciding Whether and How to Evaluate Programmes and Policies. Working Paper. What Works Scotland.
Hilton Boon, M. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. and Thomson, H. (2015) Evaluation of public health interventions using regression discontinuity designs: a systematic review. Other. University of York, York. (doi: 10.15124/CRD42015025117).
Treweek, S. et al. (2015) Making randomised trials more efficient: report of the first meeting to discuss the trial forge platform. Trials, 16, 261. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-015-0776-0) (PMID:26044814) (PMCID:PMC4475334)
2014
Katikireddi, S. , McKee, M., Craig, P. and Stuckler, D. (2014) The NHS reforms in England: four challenges to evaluating success and failure. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 107(10), pp. 387-392. (doi: 10.1177/0141076814550358)
Eberth, B., Olajide, D., Craig, P. and Ludbrook, A. (2014) Smoking-related disease risk, area deprivation and health behaviours. Journal of Public Health, 36(1), pp. 72-80. (doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdt031)
2013
Craig, P. and Petticrew, M. (2013) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: reflections on the 2008 MRC guidance. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 50(5), pp. 585-587. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2012.09.009)
2012
Craig, P. et al. (2012) Using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions: new Medical Research Council guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 66(12), pp. 1182-1186. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2011-200375)
Bhopal, R., Smith, C., Smith, J., Craig, P. , Sans, S., Littlejohn, C., Donnelly, P., Gruer, L., Crombie, I. and Dunbar, J.K. (2012) World Congress of Epidemiology 2011: themes and highlights. Public Health, 126(3), pp. 179-184. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2011.12.014) (PMID:22317946)
2010
Gray, L. , Batty, G.D., Craig, P., Stewart, C., Whyte, B., Findlayson, A. and Leyland, A.H. (2010) Cohort profile: the Scottish health surveys cohort: linkage of study participants to routinely collected records for mortality, hospital discharge, cancer and offspring birth characteristics in three nationwide studies. International Journal of Epidemiology, 39(2), pp. 345-350. (doi: 10.1093/ije/dyp155)
Craig, P. et al. (2010) Using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions. In: MRC Population Health Sciences Research Network/MRC Methodology Research Panel Workshop, London, UK, 21 Jan 2010,
2009
Ogilvie, D., Craig, P., Griffin, S., Macintyre, S. and Wareham, N. (2009) A translational framework for public health research. BMC Public Health, 9, p. 116. (doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-9-116)
Craig, P., Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2009) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: an introduction to the new Medical Research Council guidance. In: Killoran, A. and Kelly, M.P. (eds.) Evidence–Based Public Health: Effectiveness and Efficiency. Oxford University Press: Oxford, pp. 185-203. ISBN 9780199563623
2008
Craig, P., Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2008) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: the new Medical Research Council guidance. British Medical Journal, 337, pp. 979-983. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.a1655)
Craig, P. , Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2008) Developing and Evaluating Complex Interventions: New Guidance. Other. Medical Research Council, London.
2005
Craig, P. and Forbes, J. (2005) Social position and health: are old and new occupational classifications interchangeable? Journal of Biosocial Science, 37(1), pp. 89-106. (doi: 10.1017/S0021932003006424) (PMID:15688573)
2004
Craig, P. (2004) Questions and answers. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 9(4), p. 256. (doi: 10.1258/1355819042250258)
1986
Craig, P. (1986) The house that Jerry built? Building societies, the state and the politics of owner-occupation. Housing Studies, 1(2), pp. 87-108. (doi: 10.1080/02673038608720567)
Articles
Tweed, E. J. , Cimova, K. , Craig, P. , Allik, M. , Brown, D. , Campbell, M. , Henderson, D., Mayor, C., Meier, P. and Watson, N. (2024) Unlocking data: decision-maker perspectives on cross-sectoral data sharing and linkage as part of a whole-systems approach to public health policy and practice. Public Health Research, (doi: 10.3310/KYTW2173) (PMID:39582242) (Early Online Publication)
Igelström, E. , Kopasker, D. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2024) Estimating the causal effects of income on health: how researchers’ definitions of “income” matter. BMC Public Health, 24, 1572. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-19049-w) (PMID:38862961)
Kopasker, D. et al. (2024) Evaluating the influence of taxation and social security policies on psychological distress: a microsimulation study of the UK during the COVID-19 economic crisis. Social Science and Medicine, 351, 116953. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2024.116953) (PMID:38759385)
Simpson, A. H. R.W. et al. (2024) A preoperative package of care for osteoarthritis, consisting of weight loss, orthotics, rehabilitation, topical and oral analgesia (OPPORTUNITY): A two centre open label randomised controlled feasibility trial. Lancet Rheumatology, 6(4), E237-E246. (doi: 10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00337-5) (PMID:38423028)
Skivington, K. , Craig, N., Craig, P. , Rycroft-Malone, J., Matthews, L., Simpson, S. A. and Moore, L. (2024) Introducing the revised framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: a challenge and a resource for nursing research. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 154, 104748. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2024.104748) (PMID:38564983)
Dewidar, O. et al. (2024) Reporting of equity in observational epidemiology: a methodological review. Journal of Global Health, 14, 04046. (doi: 10.7189/jogh.14.04046) (PMID:38491911) (PMCID:PMC10903926)
Skivington, K. et al. (2024) Reprint of: 'A new framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: update of Medical Research Council guidance'. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 154, 104705. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2024.104705) (PMID:38564982)
Dundas, R. et al. (2023) Evaluation of the Healthy Start Voucher Scheme in UK: a natural experiment using the Growing Up in Scotland record linkage study and the Infant Feeding Survey. Public Health Research, 11(11), (doi: 10.3310/RTEU2107) (PMID:37953640)
McMeekin, N. et al. (2023) Implementation of a national smoke-free prison policy: an economic evaluation within the Tobacco in Prisons (TIPs) study. Tobacco Control, 32(6), pp. 701-708. (doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2021-056991) (PMID:35256533) (PMCID:PMC7615232)
Wang, X. et al. (2023) A scoping review establishes need for consensus guidance on reporting health equity in observational studies. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 160, pp. 126-140. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.06.009) (PMID:37330072)
McCabe, R. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2023) The health impact of Scotland's Baby Box Scheme: a natural experiment evaluation using national linked health data. Lancet Public Health, 8(7), e504-e510. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(23)00121-4) (PMID:37393089) (PMCID:PMC10323308)
Albers, P. N. et al. (2023) Natural experiments for the evaluation of place-based public health interventions: a methodology scoping review. Frontiers in Public Health, 11, 1192055. (doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1192055) (PMID:37427271) (PMCID:PMC10323422)
Flores-Ortiz, R. et al. (2023) Subsidised housing and diabetes mortality: a retrospective cohort study of 10 million low-income adults in Brazil. BMJ Open Diabetes Research and Care, 11(3), e003224. (doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2022-003224) (PMID:37349106) (PMCID:PMC10314413)
Green, M. J. , Craig, P. , Demou, E. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. H. and Pearce, A. (2023) Understanding inequalities in mental health by family structure during COVID-19 lockdowns: evidence from the UK household longitudinal study. Annals of General Psychiatry, 22(1), 24. (doi: 10.1186/s12991-023-00454-1) (PMID:37280641) (PMCID:PMC10242239)
Brown, H. et al. (2023) Exploring the health and sociodemographic characteristics of people seeking advice with claiming universal credit: a cross-sectional analysis of UK citizens advice data, 2017–2021. BMC Public Health, 23, 595. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15483-4) (PMID:36997889) (PMCID:PMC10060933)
Funnell, S. et al. (2023) Improving social justice in observational studies: protocol for the development of a global and indigenous STROBE-equity reporting guideline. International Journal for Equity in Health, 22, 5. (doi: 10.1186/s12939-023-01854-1) (PMID:36991403) (PMCID:PMC10060140)
Jaacks, L. M. et al. (2023) Co-Benefits of Largescale Organic farming On huMan health (BLOOM): protocol for a cluster-randomised controlled evaluation of the Andhra Pradesh Community-managed Natural Farming programme in India. PLoS ONE, 18(3), e0281677. (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281677) (PMID:36862623) (PMCID:PMC9980745)
McCabe, R. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Dundas, R. , Gissler, M. and Craig, P. (2023) Impact of the Finnish Maternity Grant on infant mortality rates in the 20th century: a natural experimental study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 77(1), pp. 34-37. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2022-219488) (PMID:36302615) (PMCID:PMC9763162)
Pescarini, J. M. et al. (2022) Impact of Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Programme on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality: a natural experiment study using the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort. International Journal of Epidemiology, 51(6), pp. 1847-1861. (doi: 10.1093/ije/dyac188) (PMID:36172959) (PMCID:PMC9749722)
Igelstrom, E. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. , Lynch, J., Pearce, A. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2022) Causal inference and effect estimation using observational data. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 76(11), pp. 960-966. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2022-219267) (PMCID:PMC9554068)
Craig, P. et al. (2022) Making better use of natural experimental evaluation in population health. British Medical Journal, 379, e070872. (doi: 10.1136/bmj-2022-070872) (PMID:36280251) (PMCID:PMC7613963)
Cheetham, M., Atkinson, P.J., Gibson, M. , Katikireddi, S.V. , Moffatt, S., Morris, S., Munford, L., Shenton, F., Wickham, S. and Craig, P. (2022) Exploring the mental health effects of Universal Credit: a journey of co-production. Perspectives in Public Health, 142(4), pp. 209-212. (doi: 10.1177/17579139221103178) (PMID:35833554) (PMCID:PMC9284081)
Kromydas, T., Green, M. , Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. H. , Niedzwiedz, C. L. , Pearce, A. , Thomson, R. M. and Demou, E. (2022) Comparing population-level mental health of UK workers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: a longitudinal study using Understanding Society. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 76(6), pp. 527-536. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2021-218561) (PMID:35296523) (PMCID:PMC8931794)
Craig, P. et al. (2022) Evaluation of the mental health impacts of universal credit: protocol for a mixed methods study. BMJ Open, 12(4), e061340. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-061340) (PMID:35396318) (PMCID:PMC8996017)
Hilton Boon, M. , Burns, J., Craig, P. , Griebler, U., Heise, T. L., Katikireddi, V. , Rehfuess, E., Shepperd, S., Thomson, H. and Bero, L. (2022) Value and challenges of using observational studies in systematic reviews of public health interventions. American Journal of Public Health, 112(4), pp. 548-552. (doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2021.306658) (PMID:35319925)
Kromydas, T., Campbell, M. , Chambers, S. , Hilton Boon, M. , Pearce, A. , Wells, V. and Craig, P. (2022) The effects of school summer holidays on inequalities in children and young people's mental health and cognitive ability in the UK. A secondary analysis from the Millennium cohort study. BMC Public Health, 22, 154. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-12540-2) (PMID:35065629) (PMCID:PMC8782677)
Hunt, K. et al. (2022) Process and impact of implementing a smoke-free policy in prisons in Scotland: TIPs mixed-methods study. Public Health Research, 10(1), (doi: 10.3310/WGLF1204) (PMID:35129938)
Igelstrom, E. , Campbell, M. , Craig, P. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2021) Cochrane's risk of bias tool for non-randomized studies (ROBINS-I) is frequently misapplied: A methodological systematic review. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 140, pp. 22-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.08.022) (PMID:34437948) (PMCID:PMC8809341)
Tweed, E. J. et al. (2021) Evaluation of a national smoke-free prisons policy using medication dispensing: an interrupted time-series analysis. Lancet Public Health, 6(11), e795-e804. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00163-8) (PMID:34537108) (PMCID:PMC8554387)
Skivington, K. et al. (2021) A new framework for developing and evaluating complex interventions: update of Medical Research Council guidance. British Medical Journal, 374, n2061. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.n2061) (PMID:34593508)
Skivington, K. et al. (2021) Framework for the development and evaluation of complex interventions: gap analysis, workshop and consultation-informed update. Health Technology Assessment, 25(57), (doi: 10.3310/hta25570) (PMID:34590577)
Moore, G. et al. (2021) Adapting interventions for new contexts: The ADAPT guidance. British Medical Journal, 374, n1679. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1679)
Kwasnicka, D., Boroujerdi, M., O’Gorman, A., Anderson, M. , Craig, P. , Bowman, L. and McCann, M. (2021) An N-of-1 study of daily alcohol consumption following minimum unit pricing implementation in Scotland. Addiction, 116(7), pp. 1725-1733. (doi: 10.1111/add.15382) (PMID:33372333) (PMCID:PMC8248017)
Ferreira, A. J.F. et al. (2021) Evaluating the health effect of a Social Housing programme, Minha Casa Minha Vida, using the 100 million Brazilian Cohort: A natural experiment study protocol. BMJ Open, 11(3), e041722. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041722) (PMID:33649053) (PMCID:PMC8098948)
de Vocht, F., Katikireddi, S. V. , McQuire, C., Tilling, K., Hickman, M. and Craig, P. (2021) Conceptualising natural and quasi experiments in public health. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 21(1), 32. (doi: 10.1186/s12874-021-01224-x) (PMID:33573595) (PMCID:PMC7879679)
Baxter, A. J. , Dundas, R. , Popham, F. and Craig, P. (2021) How effective was England’s teenage pregnancy strategy? A comparative analysis of high-income countries. Social Science and Medicine, 270, 113685. (doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.113685) (PMID:33434717) (PMCID:PMC7895815)
Hilton Boon, M. , Craig, P. , Thomson, H. , Campbell, M. and Moore, L. (2021) Regression discontinuity designs in health: a systematic review. Epidemiology, 32(1), pp. 87-93. (doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001274) (PMID:33196561) (PMCID:PMC7707156)
Niedzwiedz, C. L. et al. (2021) Mental health and health behaviours before and during the initial phase of the COVID-19 lockdown: longitudinal analyses of the UK Household Longitudinal Study. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 75(3), pp. 224-231. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2020-215060) (PMID:32978210) (PMCID:PMC7892383)
Pescarini, J. M., Craig, P. , Allik, M. , Amorim, L., Ali, S., Smeeth, L., Barreto, M. L., Leyland, A. H. , Aquino, E. M.L. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2020) Evaluating the impact of the Bolsa Familia conditional cash transfer program on premature cardiovascular and all-cause mortality using the 100 million Brazilian cohort: A natural experiment study protocol. BMJ Open, 10, e039658. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-039658) (PMID:33444195) (PMCID:PMC7682454)
Anyanwu, P. E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Green, M. J. (2020) Impact of UK tobacco control policies on inequalities in youth smoking uptake: a natural experiment study. Nicotine and Tobacco Research, 22(11), pp. 1973-1980. (doi: 10.1093/ntr/ntaa101) (PMID:32469404) (PMCID:PMC7593354)
Whitley, E. , Craig, P. and Popham, F. (2020) Impact of the statutory concessionary travel scheme on bus travel among older people: a natural experiment from England. Ageing and Society, 40(11), pp. 2480-2494. (doi: 10.1017/S0144686X19000692) (PMID:33071389) (PMCID:PMC7116195)
Campbell, M. , Moore, G., Evans, R. E., Khodyakov, D. and Craig, P. (2020) The Adapt Study: adaptation of evidence-informed complex population health interventions for implementation and/or re-evaluation in new contexts: protocol for a Delphi consensus exercise to develop guidance. BMJ Open, 10, e038965. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038965) (PMID:32690750) (PMCID:PMC7375505)
Butler, J., Black, C., Craig, P. , Dibben, C., Dundas, R. , Hilton Boon, M. and Popham, F. (2020) The long-term health effects of attending a selective school: a natural experiment. BMC Medicine, 18, 77. (doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01536-7) (PMID:32241252) (PMCID:PMC7118818)
Craig, P. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2020) Early impacts of Universal Credit: the tip of the iceberg? Lancet Public Health, 5(3), e131-e132. (doi: 10.1016/s2468-2667(20)30036-0) (PMID:32113516)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2020) The public health effects of interventions similar to basic income: a scoping review. Lancet Public Health, 5(3), e165-e176. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30005-0) (PMID:32113520) (PMCID:PMC7208547)
Simpson, A. H. R. W. et al. (2020) Osteoarthritis Preoperative Package for care of Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and oral agent Usage and Nutrition to Improve ouTcomes at a Year (OPPORTUNITY); a feasibility study protocol for a randomised controlled trial. Trials, 21, 209. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-019-3709-5) (PMID:32075663) (PMCID:PMC7031939)
Richards, D. A. et al. (2019) Integrating quantitative and qualitative data and findings when undertaking randomised controlled trials. BMJ Open, 9(11), e032081. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032081) (PMID:31772096) (PMCID:PMC6886933)
Hunt, K. et al. (2019) Smoke-free prison policy development, implementation, and impact across the entire national prison service in Scotland (TIPs study): a three-phase, mixed methods natural experimental evaluation. Lancet, 394(S2), S15. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32812-0)
Brunner, R. , Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2019) Evaluability assessment: an application in a complex community improvement setting. Evaluation, 25(3), pp. 349-365. (doi: 10.1177/1356389019852126) (PMID:31379464) (PMCID:PMC6628461)
Evans, R. E. et al. (2019) When and how do 'effective' interventions need to be adapted and/or re-evaluated in new contexts? The need for guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 73(6), pp. 481-482. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-210840) (PMID:30787038) (PMCID:PMC6581090)
Moore, L. , Hallingberg, B., Wight, D. , Turley, R., Segrott, J., Craig, P. , Robling, M., Murphy, S., Simpson, S. M. and Moore, G. (2018) Exploratory studies to inform full-scale evaluations of complex public health interventions: the need for guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(10), pp. 865-866. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-210414) (PMID:30030296) (PMCID:PMC6161652)
Bouttell, J. , Craig, P. , Lewsey, J. , Robinson, M. and Popham, F. (2018) Synthetic control methodology as a tool for evaluating population-level health interventions. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(8), pp. 673-678. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-210106) (PMID:29653993) (PMCID:PMC6204967)
Grant, S., Mayo-Wilson, E., Montgomery, P., Macdonald, G., Michie, S., Hopewell, S., Moher, D. and CONSORT-SPI Group, (2018) CONSORT-SPI 2018 explanation and elaboration: guidance for reporting social and psychological intervention trials. Trials, 19(1), 406. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-018-2735-z)
Montgomery, P., Grant, S., Mayo-Wilson, E., Macdonald, G., Michie, S., Hopewell, S., Moher, D. and CONSORT-SPI Group, (2018) Reporting randomised trials of social and psychological interventions: the CONSORT-SPI 2018 Extension. Trials, 19(1), 407. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-018-2733-1)
Campbell, M. , Escobar, O., Fenton, C. and Craig, P. (2018) The impact of participatory budgeting on health and wellbeing: a scoping review of evaluations. BMC Public Health, 18, 822. (doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5735-8) (PMID:29970044) (PMCID:PMC6029380)
Katikireddi, S. V. , Molaodi, O. R., Gibson, M. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2018) Effects of restrictions to Income Support on health of lone mothers in the UK: a natural experiment study. Lancet Public Health, 3(7), e333-e340. (doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30109-9) (PMID:29976327) (PMCID:PMC6038023)
Hallingberg, B., Turley, R., Segrott, J., Wight, D. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. , Murphy, S., Robling, M., Simpson, S. and Moore, G. (2018) Exploratory studies to decide whether and how to proceed with full-scale evaluations of public health interventions: a systematic review of guidance. Pilot and Feasibility Studies, 4, 104. (doi: 10.1186/s40814-018-0290-8) (PMID:29854417) (PMCID:PMC5971430)
Campbell, M. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Hoffmann, T., Armstrong, R., Waters, E. and Craig, P. (2018) TIDieR-PHP: a reporting guideline for population health and policy interventions. British Medical Journal, 361, k1079. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.k1079) (PMID:29769210) (PMCID:PMC5954974)
Anyanwu, P. E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Green, M. J. (2018) Impacts of smoke-free public places legislation on inequalities in youth smoking uptake: study protocol for a secondary analysis of UK survey data. BMJ Open, 8(3), e022490. (doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-022490) (PMID:29593026) (PMCID:PMC5875608)
Craig, P. , Gibson, M. , Campbell, M. , Popham, F. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2018) Making the most of natural experiments: What can studies of the withdrawal of public health interventions offer? Preventive Medicine, 108, pp. 17-22. (doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2017.12.025) (PMID:29288780) (PMCID:PMC6711756)
Thomson, H. , Craig, P. , Hilton-Boon, M. , Campbell, M. and Katikireddi, S. V. (2018) Applying the ROBINS-I tool to natural experiments: an example from public health. Systematic Reviews, 7, 15. (doi: 10.1186/s13643-017-0659-4) (PMID:29368630) (PMCID:PMC5784724)
Craig, P. (2017) A new CONSORT extension should improve the reporting of randomized pilot and feasibility trials. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 84, pp. 30-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2017.01.009) (PMID:28214550)
Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S. V. , Leyland, A. and Popham, F. (2017) Natural experiments: An overview of methods, approaches, and contributions to public health intervention research. Annual Review of Public Health, 38, pp. 39-56. (doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031816-044327) (PMID:28125392)
Craig, P. , Dundas, R. , Leyland, A. and Popham, F. (2016) How successful was the English teenage pregnancy strategy? Response to Wellings K, Palmer MJ, Gear RS et al. Changes in conceptions in women younger than 18 years and the circumstances of young mothers in England in 2000-12: an observational study. Lancet, 388(10060), p. 2604. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32223-1) (PMID:27894659) (PMCID:PMC6742502)
Eldridge, S. M. et al. (2016) CONSORT 2010 Statement: extension to randomised pilot and feasibility trials. British Medical Journal, 355, i5239. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.i5239) (PMID:27777223) (PMCID:PMC5076380)
McCartney, G. et al. (2016) Explaining trends in alcohol-related harms in Scotland, 1991–2011 (I): the role of incomes, effects of socio-economic and political adversity and demographic change. Public Health, 132, pp. 13-23. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2015.12.013) (PMID:26917268)
McCartney, G. et al. (2016) Explaining trends in alcohol-related harms in Scotland 1991–2011 (II): policy, social norms, the alcohol market, clinical changes and a synthesis. Public Health, 132, pp. 24-32. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2015.12.012) (PMID:26921977)
Armstrong, R., Campbell, M. , Craig, P. , Hoffmann, T., Katikireddi, S. V. and Waters, E. (2015) Reporting guidelines for population health and policy interventions: TIDieR-PHP. Lancet, 386(Supp 2), S19. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00857-0)
Pinnock, H., Epiphaniou, E., Sheikh, A., Griffiths, C., Eldridge, S., Craig, P. and Taylor, S. J.C. (2015) Developing standards for reporting implementation studies of complex interventions (StaRI): a systematic review and e-Delphi. Implementation Science, 10, 42. (doi: 10.1186/s13012-015-0235-z) (PMID:25888928) (PMCID:PMC4393562)
Treweek, S. et al. (2015) Making randomised trials more efficient: report of the first meeting to discuss the trial forge platform. Trials, 16, 261. (doi: 10.1186/s13063-015-0776-0) (PMID:26044814) (PMCID:PMC4475334)
Katikireddi, S. , McKee, M., Craig, P. and Stuckler, D. (2014) The NHS reforms in England: four challenges to evaluating success and failure. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 107(10), pp. 387-392. (doi: 10.1177/0141076814550358)
Eberth, B., Olajide, D., Craig, P. and Ludbrook, A. (2014) Smoking-related disease risk, area deprivation and health behaviours. Journal of Public Health, 36(1), pp. 72-80. (doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdt031)
Craig, P. and Petticrew, M. (2013) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: reflections on the 2008 MRC guidance. International Journal of Nursing Studies, 50(5), pp. 585-587. (doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2012.09.009)
Craig, P. et al. (2012) Using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions: new Medical Research Council guidance. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 66(12), pp. 1182-1186. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2011-200375)
Bhopal, R., Smith, C., Smith, J., Craig, P. , Sans, S., Littlejohn, C., Donnelly, P., Gruer, L., Crombie, I. and Dunbar, J.K. (2012) World Congress of Epidemiology 2011: themes and highlights. Public Health, 126(3), pp. 179-184. (doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2011.12.014) (PMID:22317946)
Gray, L. , Batty, G.D., Craig, P., Stewart, C., Whyte, B., Findlayson, A. and Leyland, A.H. (2010) Cohort profile: the Scottish health surveys cohort: linkage of study participants to routinely collected records for mortality, hospital discharge, cancer and offspring birth characteristics in three nationwide studies. International Journal of Epidemiology, 39(2), pp. 345-350. (doi: 10.1093/ije/dyp155)
Ogilvie, D., Craig, P., Griffin, S., Macintyre, S. and Wareham, N. (2009) A translational framework for public health research. BMC Public Health, 9, p. 116. (doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-9-116)
Craig, P., Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2008) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: the new Medical Research Council guidance. British Medical Journal, 337, pp. 979-983. (doi: 10.1136/bmj.a1655)
Craig, P. and Forbes, J. (2005) Social position and health: are old and new occupational classifications interchangeable? Journal of Biosocial Science, 37(1), pp. 89-106. (doi: 10.1017/S0021932003006424) (PMID:15688573)
Craig, P. (2004) Questions and answers. Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 9(4), p. 256. (doi: 10.1258/1355819042250258)
Craig, P. (1986) The house that Jerry built? Building societies, the state and the politics of owner-occupation. Housing Studies, 1(2), pp. 87-108. (doi: 10.1080/02673038608720567)
Book Sections
Craig, P. (2015) Foreword. In: Rahm Hallberg, I.R. and Richards, D.A. (eds.) Complex Interventions in Health: An Overview of Research Methods. Routledge: Abingdon. ISBN 9780415703161
Craig, P., Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2009) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: an introduction to the new Medical Research Council guidance. In: Killoran, A. and Kelly, M.P. (eds.) Evidence–Based Public Health: Effectiveness and Efficiency. Oxford University Press: Oxford, pp. 185-203. ISBN 9780199563623
Research Reports or Papers
Chng, N. R. , Craig, P. and Mccrorie, P. (2021) Cargo Bike Library Evaluability Assessment. Project Report. University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Burnett, D. et al. (2020) Protecting the health of the working-age population as lockdown reduces. Documentation. Public Health Scotland.
Mccrorie, P. , Chng, N. R. and Craig, P. (2019) Evaluability Assessment - Sustrans I Bike Communities Programme. Project Report. University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2018) Universal basic income: a scoping review of evidence on impacts and study characteristics. Project Report. What Works Scotland.
Craig, P. et al. (2018) Taking account of context in population health intervention research: guidance for producers, users and funders of research. Project Report. NIHR Evaluation, Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre. (doi: 10.3310/CIHR-NIHR-01).
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W., Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2017) Review Protocol. The Impact of Universal Basic Income: A Scoping Review of Evaluations and Outcomes. Documentation. MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow.
Brunner, R. , Craig, P. and Watson, N. (2017) Evaluability Assessment of Thriving Places: a Report for Glasgow Community Planning Partnership. Other. What Works Scotland.
Beaton, M., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S.V. , Jepson, R. and Williams, A. (2015) Evaluability assessment of Free School Meals for all children in P1 to P3. Project Report. NHS Health Scotland, Edinburgh.
Wimbush, E., Geddes, R., Woodman, K., Craig, P. and Jepson, R. (2015) Evaluability Assessment of the Family Nurse Partnership in Scotland. Project Report. NHS Health Scotland, Edinburgh.
Craig, P. (2015) Synthetic Controls: A New Approach to Evaluating Interventions. Working Paper. What Works Scotland.
Craig, P. and Campbell, M. (2015) Evaluability Assessment: A Systematic Approach to Deciding Whether and How to Evaluate Programmes and Policies. Working Paper. What Works Scotland.
Hilton Boon, M. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. and Thomson, H. (2015) Evaluation of public health interventions using regression discontinuity designs: a systematic review. Other. University of York, York. (doi: 10.15124/CRD42015025117).
Craig, P. , Dieppe, P., Macintyre, S., Michie, S., Nazareth, I. and Petticrew, M. (2008) Developing and Evaluating Complex Interventions: New Guidance. Other. Medical Research Council, London.
Conference or Workshop Item
Simpson, H. et al. (2024) Is There a Window of Opportunity to Effect Positive Health Behaviour Prior to Surgery? A Two Centre Open Label Randomised Controlled Feasibility Trial of a Preoperative Package of Care for Osteoarthritis, Consisting of Weight Loss, Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and Oral Analgesia (OPPORTUNITY). 2024 OARSI World Congress on Osteoarthritis, Vienna, Austria, 18-21 Apr 2024. S578. (doi: 10.1016/j.joca.2024.02.853)
Cheetham, M., Gibson, M. , Morris, S., Bambra, C. and Craig, P. (2023) The Mental Health Effects of Universal Credit: Qualitative Findings from a Mixed Methods Study. Society for Social Medicine Annual Scientific Meeting, Newcastle, UK, 06-08 Sep 2023. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-SSMabstracts.26)
Craig, P. et al. (2018) Development of guidance for feasibility studies to decide whether and how to proceed to full-scale evaluation of complex public health interventions: a systematic review. The Lancet 392(S2):S7. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32265-7)
Gibson, M. , Hearty, W. and Craig, P. (2018) Potential Effects of Universal Basic Income: a Scoping Review of Evidence on Impacts and Study Characteristics. The Lancet 392(S2):S36. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32083-X)
Skivington, K. , Matthews, L. , Craig, P. , Simpson, S. and Moore, L. (2018) Developing and evaluating complex interventions: updating Medical Research Council guidance to take account of new methodological and theoretical approaches. The Lancet 392(S2):S2. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2018, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 23 Nov 2018. (doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32865-4)
Anyanwu, P.E., Craig, P. , Katikireddi, S.V. and Green, M.J. (2018) Does Parental Smoking Explain Impacts of Smoke-free Public Places Legislation on Youth Smoking Initiation in the UK? Society for Social Medicine 62nd Annual Scientific Meeting, Glasgow, UK, 5-7 Sep 2018. A27.2-A28. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-SSMabstracts.56)
Bouttell, J. , Popham, F. , Lewsey, J. , Robinson, M. and Craig, P. (2017) Synthetic Control Methodology as a Tool for Evaluating Public Health Interventions: A Guide to the Method and Case Study. Lancet Public Health Science Conference, London, UK, 24 Nov 2017.
Dundas, R. , Molaodi, O., Gibson, M. , Katikireddi, S. V. and Craig, P. (2017) Health Impacts of UK Lone Parent Obligations: A Natural Experiment Study Using Data from the UK Household Panel Survey, Understanding Society. The Lancet 390(S3):S2. Meeting abstract: Public Health Science 2017, London, UK, 24 Nov 2017. (doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32937-9)
Katikireddi, S. , Molaodi, O., Gibson, M. , Dundas, R. and Craig, P. (2017) Evaluating the Health Impacts of Restrictions to Income Support for Lone Parents: A Natural Experiment Study Using Understanding Society. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 71(Suppl. 1):A38. Society for Social Medicine, 61st Annual Scientific Meeting, Manchester, UK, 5-8 Sept 2017. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-SSMAbstracts.75)
Hilton Boon, M.L. , Craig, P. , Moore, L. and Thomson, H. (2016) OP69 Regression discontinuity designs in the evaluation of health interventions, policies, and outcomes: a systematic review. Society for Social Medicine 60th Annual Scientific Meeting, York, UK, 14-16 Sep 2016. A39.2-A39. (doi: 10.1136/jech-2016-208064.69)
Conference Proceedings
Craig, P. et al. (2010) Using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions. In: MRC Population Health Sciences Research Network/MRC Methodology Research Panel Workshop, London, UK, 21 Jan 2010,
Protocols
Campbell, M. , Escobar, O. and Craig, P. (2016) The impact of Participatory Budgeting: a scoping review of evaluations and outcomes. [Protocols]
Grants
Grants and Awards listed are those received whilst working with the University of Glasgow.
- Orienting Policy Towards Inequality Minimising Actions (OPTIMA): A systems science approach to 20-minute neighbourhood policy and evaluation
National Institute for Health Research
2024 - 2027
- Glasgow Health Determinants Research Collaboration
National Institute for Health Research
2024 - 2024
- PHIRST - Cosy Homes in Lancashire (CHiL)
National Institute for Health Research
2023 - 2025
- Effectiveness of Surveillance Technologies to Prevent Suicides at High-Risk Locations
National Institute for Health Research
2023 - 2026
- Developing a platform for evaluating a `Minimum Income Guarantee' policy and modelling major income supplementation reforms
National Institute for Health Research
2023 - 2024
- NIHR GHR Unit on Social and Environmental Determinants of Health Inequalities
National Institute for Health Research
2022 - 2027
- MRC/NIHR guidance on Natural Experimental Evaluations (NEEs) for researchers and End-Users
Medical Research Council
2021 - 2023
- Evaluation of the health impacts of Universal Credit: a mixed methods study
National Institute for Health Research
2021 - 2025
- Unlocking data to inform public health policy and practice
National Institute for Health Research
2021 - 2021
- Understanding the impacts of income and welfare policy responses to COVID-19 on inequalities in mental health: A microsimulation model
The Health Foundation
2021 - 2022
- Future updates & dissemination of MRC Complex Intervention Guidance
Medical Research Council
2021 - 2021
- PHIRST NOLB
National Institute for Health Research
2020 - 2021
- PHIRST
National Institute for Health Research
2020 - 2023
- Quinquennial Funding for Social and Public Health Sciences Unit
Medical Research Council
2020 - 2025
- SPEEDIER
Medical Research Council
2018 - 2023
- SPEEDIER
Medical Research Council
2018 - 2021
- Adaptation of evidence-informed complex population health interventions for implementation &/or re-evaluation in new contexts:Development of guidance for funders,researchers,policy-makers,practitionrs
Medical Research Council
2018 - 2020
- Evaluating graduated progress towards and impacts of the implementation of indoor smoke free prison facilities in Scotland (TIPS)
National Institute for Health Research
2018 - 2020
- Updating the MRC guidance on complex interventions
Medical Research Council
2017 - 2018
- Osteoarthritis Preoperative Package of Care of Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and Oral agent Usage and Nutrition to Improve outcomes aT a Year (OPPORTUNITY)
Versus Arthritis
2017 - 2019
- Impacts of smoke-free public places legislation on youth smoking uptake
Economic and Social Research Council
2017 - 2018
- Osteoarthritis Preoperative Package of care of Orthotics, Rehabilitation, Topical and oral agent Usage and Nutrition to Improve outcomes aT a Year (OPPORTUNITY)
Arthritis Research UK
2017 - 2018
- Strengthening data linkage to reduce health inequalities in low and middle income countries: building on the Brazilian 100 million cohort
National Institute for Health Research
2017 - 2020
- Updating the MRC guidance on complex interventions
Department of Health
2017 - 2017
- Evaluating graduated progress towards an indoor smoke free prison facilities in Scotland
National Institute for Health Research
2016 - 2019
- Exploratory trials of complex public health interventions: development of guidance for researchers and funders
Medical Research Council
2016 - 2018
- Support to develop and deploy UAV technology for health commodity delivery
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
2016 - 2017
- Support to develop and deploy UAV technology for health commodity delivery
Department for International Development
2016 - 2017
- Evaluation of the Healthy Start Voucher Scheme in UK: a natural experiment using the Growing Up in Scotland record linkage study and the Infant Feeding Survey.
National Institute for Health Research
2015 - 2017
- Quinquennial Core Funds
Medical Research Council
2015 - 2020
- SPHSU Core Renewal: Informing Healthy Public Policy Research Programme
Medical Research Council
2015 - 2020
- What Works Scotland
Economic and Social Research Council
2014 - 2018
Supervision
- Gedeon, Edit
Children’s Health in Care in Scotland (CHiCS): effects of maternal health, health behaviours and early childhood health on entering care - Kraljević, Katja
Workplace wellbeing and health inequalities. A comparative analysis across EU countries
Teaching
I have delivered seminars and workshops on the development and evaluation of complex interventions, natural experimental approaches to evaluating population health interventions, and the use of evaluability assessments to improve decision-making in relation to policy evaluation.